Charlotte FC vs Orlando City SC prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Charlotte to win: 62%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 81%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three lean Charlotte, from differing angles: style patterns, play-off stakes, and form. Published numbers are broadly defensible - Orlando ship 2.32 a game, Charlotte have home wins momentum and 5 days' fresher legs. Expect goals at both ends, with the hosts more likely to land the decisive blow.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals, and Charlotte's late-game edge could settle it
Orlando concede 2.32 per game away with 15 shipped in their last five on the road, while Charlotte have scored 9 in their last five at home.
Charlotte: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides chase play-off spots, and Charlotte's form gives them the edge at home
Charlotte sit 5th on 47 points, inside the Direct play-off spots; Orlando are 8th with 42, in the Wild card places but eyeing the top seven. Both arrive on 6 days' rest with two games in 14 days. Charlotte's last six show three wins; Orlando have drawn three of their last six.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Charlotte FC are clear favourites at 62%, with Orlando City SC on 21% and the draw on 17%. Charlotte FC are 5th and Orlando City SC 8th in MLS. In their last five league games, Charlotte FC won one and Orlando City SC two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Charlotte FC win or draw
- 79%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 83%
- Orlando City SC win or draw
- 38%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 93%
- 3+ goals
- 81%
- 4+ goals
- 63%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 75%
- No
- 25%
We expect about 2.7 goals from Charlotte FC and 1.6 from Orlando City SC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (8%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 3–1 (7%), 2–2 (6%), 1–1 (6%), 3–2 (6%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62% | 17% | 21% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1880 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Charlotte FC: last 6
LDLWLW · 10 scored, 12 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Portland Timbers | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Philadelphia Union | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Oct | at Columbus Crew | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs FC Dallas | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Chicago Fire | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | at DC United | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLDWW
Orlando City SC: last 6
DWDWLL · 16 scored, 16 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs New York City FC | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs DC United | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | at Toronto FC | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Columbus Crew | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Philadelphia Union | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | at New England Revolution | 2–4 | L |
Last 5 away: DLLLW
Season stats
| Charlotte FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.77 | Goals scored per game | 1.94 |
| 1.55 | Goals conceded per game | 2.32 |
| 1.93 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.62 | Scored per game away | 1.87 |
| 71% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 77% |
| 71% | Both teams scored | 71% |
| 16% | Clean sheets | 13% |
| 19% | Failed to score | 16% |
| 2.06 | Yellow cards per game | 2.26 |
League matches only, 31 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Charlotte FC | Orlando City SC |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
MLS table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Miami | 31 | +20 | 55 | LWWWL |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 31 | +9 | 55 | WWWLL |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 31 | +9 | 51 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 31 | +7 | 47 | LDLWL |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | +12 | 46 | LDWWW |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 31 | -7 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 31 | -12 | 42 | DWDWL |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | -15 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 31 | +1 | 38 | WWWLW |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 31 | -11 | 36 | LWDWL |
Match context
- Stadium
- Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
- 75,412 seats · artificial turf
- Rest days
- Charlotte FC 6Orlando City SC 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Charlotte FC 2 · Orlando City SC 2
- Coaches
- D. Smith
- Charlotte FC, since Feb 2024
- M. Perelman
- Orlando City SC, since Oct 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
