Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Portland Timbers to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 59%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
In short
Portland Timbers are slight favourites at 44%, with Houston Dynamo FC on 32% and the draw on 24%. Portland Timbers are 11th and Houston Dynamo FC 5th in MLS. In their last five league games, Portland Timbers won one and Houston Dynamo FC none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Portland Timbers win or draw
- 68%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Houston Dynamo FC win or draw
- 56%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Portland Timbers and 1.4 from Houston Dynamo FC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44% | 24% | 32% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2022 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Portland Timbers: last 6
WDLDLL · 7 scored, 11 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Charlotte | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Colorado Rapids | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Oct | at Los Angeles Galaxy | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Sporting Kansas City | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Sep | at San Jose Earthquakes | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Atlanta United FC | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: WDLDW
Houston Dynamo FC: last 6
DDDDLD · 9 scored, 11 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Minnesota United FC | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs FC Dallas | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | at San Diego | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Minnesota United FC | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Sporting Kansas City | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs FC Cincinnati | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: DDLDL
Season stats
| Portland Timbers | Houston Dynamo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 | Goals scored per game | 1.32 |
| 1.87 | Goals conceded per game | 1.26 |
| 2.12 | Scored per game at home | 1.19 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 1.47 |
| 71% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| 74% | Both teams scored | 42% |
| 6% | Clean sheets | 39% |
| 23% | Failed to score | 29% |
| 1.61 | Yellow cards per game | 2.03 |
League matches only, 31 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Portland Timbers | Houston Dynamo FC |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
MLS table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Dallas | 31 | +11 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 31 | +12 | 51 | LLDWW |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | +7 | 48 | LDDDW |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo FC | 31 | +2 | 48 | DDDDL |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | +2 | 43 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | +1 | 42 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | +0 | 39 | WWDLW |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 31 | -4 | 37 | WDLDL |
| 12 | San Diego | 31 | -3 | 35 | DDDLD |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 31 | -8 | 35 | DWDDL |
| 14 | Austin | 31 | -17 | 34 | WLLLD |
Match context
- Stadium
- Providence Park, Portland, Oregon
- 25,518 seats · artificial turf
- Rest days
- Portland Timbers 8Houston Dynamo FC 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Portland Timbers 1 · Houston Dynamo FC 1
- Coaches
- Martí Cifuentes
- Portland Timbers, since Jul 2026
- Ben Olsen
- Houston Dynamo FC, since Feb 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
