MLS predictions

USA · 2026 · probabilities, team news and context for every match, published before kick-off. Updated 17 Oct 2026.

Upcoming matches

Numbers are our chances in %: home win · draw · away win. Green highlight = our favourite. After full time: ✓ Favourite won, or ! Upset when something less likely happened.

MLS fixtures

17 Oct
14:30 Philadelphia UnionCharlotte FC Preview soon
17 Oct
16:30 Minnesota United FCSt. Louis CITY SC Preview soon
17 Oct
19:30 New York City FCLAFC Preview soon
17 Oct
19:30 Red Bull New YorkToronto FC Preview soon
17 Oct
19:30 New England RevolutionChicago Fire FC Preview soon
17 Oct
19:30 Atlanta United FCInter Miami CF Preview soon
17 Oct
19:30 Orlando City SCD.C. United Preview soon
17 Oct
20:30 Austin FCVancouver Whitecaps Preview soon
17 Oct
20:30 Houston Dynamo FCFC Dallas Preview soon
17 Oct
20:30 Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake Preview soon
17 Oct
22:30 Seattle Sounders FCCF Montréal Preview soon
17 Oct
22:30 San Jose EarthquakesNashville SC Preview soon
17 Oct
22:30 LA GalaxySan Diego FC Preview soon
17 Oct
22:30 Portland TimbersColorado Rapids Preview soon
18 Oct
17:00 FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew Preview soon

Kick-off times: ET.

MLS table

Overall Home Away Form (last 6)

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Western Conference
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	29	15	7	7	+31	52
2	St. Louis City	29	14	9	6	+16	51
3	FC Dallas	29	14	8	7	+8	50
4	San Jose Earthquakes	29	13	8	8	+10	47
5	Houston Dynamo	29	13	7	9	+2	46
6	Los Angeles FC	30	12	9	9	+15	45
7	Seattle Sounders	29	11	8	10	+2	41
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	30	10	9	11	-9	39
9	Colorado Rapids	29	11	5	13	+0	38
10	Portland Timbers	29	9	6	14	-5	33
11	Real Salt Lake	29	9	6	14	-5	33
12	San Diego	29	8	9	12	-3	33
13	Minnesota United FC	29	7	10	12	-9	31
14	Austin	29	7	10	12	-17	31
15	Sporting Kansas City	29	6	4	19	-37	22
Eastern Conference
1	Nashville SC	29	20	6	3	+41	66
2	Inter Miami	29	14	10	5	+20	52
3	New England Revolution	29	15	4	10	+7	49
4	Chicago Fire	29	14	6	9	+9	48
5	Charlotte	29	13	7	9	+8	46
6	Philadelphia Union	29	13	6	10	+13	45
7	Orlando City SC	29	11	5	13	-15	38
8	New York Red Bulls	29	10	6	13	-15	36
9	FC Cincinnati	28	9	9	10	-8	36
10	New York City FC	29	8	9	12	+2	33
11	Toronto FC	29	7	12	10	-11	33
12	DC United	28	7	12	9	-11	33
13	Columbus Crew	29	9	5	15	-3	32
14	Atlanta United FC	29	8	6	15	-12	30
15	CF Montreal	29	6	6	17	-24	24

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Eastern Conference
1	Nashville SC	15	14	1	0	+33	43
2	New England Revolution	14	9	2	3	+10	29
3	Charlotte	15	8	4	3	+13	28
4	Chicago Fire	15	9	1	5	+9	28
5	Orlando City SC	14	8	2	4	+7	26
6	Inter Miami	15	6	7	2	+15	25
7	Philadelphia Union	14	7	4	3	+11	25
8	FC Cincinnati	13	7	3	3	+9	24
9	Toronto FC	16	5	9	2	+2	24
10	Columbus Crew	15	7	2	6	+5	23
11	DC United	15	5	5	5	-6	20
12	New York Red Bulls	14	5	3	6	-5	18
13	CF Montreal	15	4	5	6	-2	17
14	New York City FC	14	4	4	6	+5	16
15	Atlanta United FC	14	4	2	8	-6	14
Western Conference
1	St. Louis City	15	9	4	2	+15	31
2	Los Angeles FC	15	9	3	3	+16	30
3	Colorado Rapids	15	9	3	3	+13	30
4	Vancouver Whitecaps	15	9	2	4	+21	29
5	Real Salt Lake	15	8	3	4	+7	27
6	Houston Dynamo	14	8	3	3	+5	27
7	FC Dallas	14	7	5	2	+6	26
8	Portland Timbers	14	7	3	4	+6	24
9	Seattle Sounders	14	7	3	4	+3	24
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	6	5	4	+2	23
11	San Diego	15	6	4	5	+8	22
12	San Jose Earthquakes	14	6	3	5	+3	21
13	Austin	14	4	6	4	+1	18
14	Minnesota United FC	14	2	7	5	-2	13
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	3	4	7	-8	13

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Eastern Conference
1	Inter Miami	14	8	3	3	+5	27
2	Nashville SC	14	6	5	3	+8	23
3	Philadelphia Union	15	6	2	7	+2	20
4	Chicago Fire	14	5	5	4	+0	20
5	New England Revolution	15	6	2	7	-3	20
6	Charlotte	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	New York Red Bulls	15	5	3	7	-10	18
8	New York City FC	15	4	5	6	-3	17
9	Atlanta United FC	15	4	4	7	-6	16
10	DC United	13	2	7	4	-5	13
11	FC Cincinnati	15	2	6	7	-17	12
12	Orlando City SC	15	3	3	9	-22	12
13	Columbus Crew	14	2	3	9	-8	9
14	Toronto FC	13	2	3	8	-13	9
15	CF Montreal	14	2	1	11	-22	7
Western Conference
1	San Jose Earthquakes	15	7	5	3	+7	26
2	FC Dallas	15	7	3	5	+2	24
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	6	5	3	+10	23
4	St. Louis City	14	5	5	4	+1	20
5	Houston Dynamo	15	5	4	6	-3	19
6	Minnesota United FC	15	5	3	7	-7	18
7	Seattle Sounders	15	4	5	6	-1	17
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	4	4	7	-11	16
9	Los Angeles FC	15	3	6	6	-1	15
10	Austin	15	3	4	8	-18	13
11	San Diego	14	2	5	7	-11	11
12	Portland Timbers	15	2	3	10	-11	9
13	Sporting Kansas City	15	3	0	12	-29	9
14	Colorado Rapids	14	2	2	10	-13	8
15	Real Salt Lake	14	1	3	10	-12	6

#	Team	Last 6	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	WWWWW	15
2	Nashville SC	WWWWD	13
3	New England Revolution	WLLWW	9
4	Chicago Fire	LWWWL	9
5	New York Red Bulls	LWLWW	9
6	Columbus Crew	WLWWL	9
7	Inter Miami	WWLDD	8
8	Atlanta United FC	WLDWD	8
9	Charlotte	LWLWD	7
10	Orlando City SC	DWLLW	7
11	FC Cincinnati	LWLDD	5
12	DC United	WLDLD	5
13	New York City FC	LLDLW	4
14	Toronto FC	DWLLL	4
15	CF Montreal	LLWLL	3
1	St. Louis City	DWWWW	13
2	Seattle Sounders	LWWWW	12
3	FC Dallas	WLWDW	10
4	Los Angeles Galaxy	WLWWD	10
5	San Jose Earthquakes	DDWDW	9
6	Vancouver Whitecaps	DDLDW	6
7	Colorado Rapids	DDLDW	6
8	Los Angeles FC	WDLDL	5
9	Austin	LLDDW	5
10	Real Salt Lake	DLWLL	4
11	Sporting Kansas City	LDLWL	4
12	Houston Dynamo	DDLDL	3
13	San Diego	DLDDL	3
14	Minnesota United FC	DDLLL	2
15	Portland Timbers	LDLLL	1

Predicted final table

Nashville SC have all but won the Supporters' Shield (>99% of simulations).

#	Team	Exp. pts	Conference top	Direct play-off spot	Wild card
1	Nashville SC	76	>99%	100%	0%
2	Inter Miami CF	60	<1%	>99%	<1%
3	New England Revolution	57	0%	>99%	<1%
4	Chicago Fire FC	56	0%	>99%	<1%
…
14	Austin FC	37	0%	<1%	4%
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	0%	0%	0%

Full predicted table →

Goals and trends

Goals per match

3.26

Over 2.5 goals

64%

Both teams score

64%

Draws

26%

MLS stats →

Our MLS record

No graded predictions in this league yet.

Full MLS track record →

About the MLS

Major League Soccer is the top division in the United States and Canada, with 30 clubs split into an Eastern and a Western Conference. The regular season runs from late February to early November; the top seven in each conference go straight into the MLS Cup play-offs, and the 8th and 9th meet in a wild-card match. The team with the most points overall wins the Supporters' Shield.

MLS is shaped by long travel, big differences between home and away form, artificial pitches at some stadiums and a salary cap that keeps squads close. Mid-week rounds and international call-ups during FIFA windows often change line-ups, so team news an hour before kick-off matters more here than in most leagues.

This season so far: 3.26 goals per match, 26% draws (435 matches).

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