Football predictions today

Everything you need to know about a match, an hour before kickoff. 5 predictions published before kickoff, every result public.

Championship

England

LaLiga

Spain

Serie A

Italy

Bundesliga

Germany

Ligue 1

France

How we make predictions

  1. Start from the market and a goals model. Bookmaker prices without the margin, plus a Poisson model of goals scored and conceded.
  2. Read the news in local languages. Injuries, lineups, morale and off-pitch events, each fact linked to its source.
  3. Adjust, cap, publish, and keep score. Three AI experts argue, the shift from the market is capped, and every prediction is logged before kickoff.

Full methodology →

Are our probabilities honest?

When we say 30%, it should happen about 3 times in 10. Dots on the dashed line mean well calibrated.

Calibration: predicted probability vs how often it happened002020404060608080100100Predicted, %Happened, %

Full track record →