Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Colorado Rapids to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 54%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
In short
Colorado Rapids are slight favourites at 42%, with Chicago Fire FC on 33% and the draw on 25%. Colorado Rapids are 8th and Chicago Fire FC 4th in MLS. In their last five league games, Colorado Rapids won one and Chicago Fire FC three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Colorado Rapids win or draw
- 66%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Chicago Fire FC win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Colorado Rapids and 1.3 from Chicago Fire FC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 0–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 25% | 34% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2023 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Colorado Rapids: last 6
WDDDLD · 9 scored, 9 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Vancouver Whitecaps | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Portland Timbers | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Oct | vs Minnesota United FC | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | at Los Angeles Galaxy | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Seattle Sounders | 3–3 | D |
Last 5 at home: WDDDL
Chicago Fire FC: last 6
WLLWWW · 10 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Atlanta United FC | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | at New England Revolution | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Philadelphia Union | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs New York City FC | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Vancouver Whitecaps | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Charlotte | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: WLWLD
Season stats
| Colorado Rapids | Chicago Fire FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | Goals scored per game | 1.77 |
| 1.32 | Goals conceded per game | 1.48 |
| 1.81 | Scored per game at home | 1.87 |
| 0.87 | Scored per game away | 1.69 |
| 45% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 74% |
| 45% | Both teams scored | 71% |
| 35% | Clean sheets | 23% |
| 26% | Failed to score | 10% |
| 2.55 | Yellow cards per game | 2.29 |
League matches only, 31 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Colorado Rapids | Chicago Fire FC |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
MLS table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | +2 | 48 | DDDDL |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | +2 | 43 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | +1 | 42 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | +0 | 39 | WWDLW |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 31 | -4 | 37 | WDLDL |
| … | |||||
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | +43 | 70 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 31 | +20 | 55 | LWWWL |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 31 | +9 | 55 | WWWLL |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 31 | +9 | 51 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 31 | +7 | 47 | LDLWL |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | +12 | 46 | LDWWW |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 31 | -7 | 42 | WWLLW |
Match context
- Stadium
- Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado
- 19,734 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Colorado Rapids 6Chicago Fire FC 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Colorado Rapids 2 · Chicago Fire FC 1
- Coaches
- Matt Wells
- Colorado Rapids, since Feb 2026
- G. Berhalter
- Chicago Fire FC, since Oct 2024
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
