Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Seattle Sounders to win: 55%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 59% · bookies 59%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean towards Seattle, whose home record and late-game scoring edge justify the 55% home price, with Houston's draw-heavy run supporting a meaningful draw chance. The sceptic's note on low-scoring head-to-heads tempers the 59% over 2.5 line slightly, but the numbers broadly hold together.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Dressing Room thinks Seattle Sounders FC are underrated; The Sceptic thinks a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersSeattle's late-game strength against Houston's slow starts tips a tight home win.
Seattle score most after the break (13 of 41 in minutes 76-90) while Houston have scored just once in the opening 15 minutes all season. Houston also concede heavily late (12 in 76-90). Seattle's home form reads D W W W D with 8 scored and 3 conceded.
Houston Dynamo: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides sit in the play-off places, so Seattle have most to protect at home.
Seattle are 7th on 43 points, inside the direct play-off spots but only two points clear of the wild-card places at 8-9. Houston are 5th on 48. Both had 4 days' rest with 2 games in 14 days. Seattle are unbeaten in five at home (D W W W D).
Seattle Sounders: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices look fair, though the total line may be a touch generous.
Houston are unbeaten in four (four straight draws before that) yet winless in six head-to-head, so 22% away feels about right. But these sides drew 0-0 twice in recent meetings and average just 1.3 goals per game across the last six, which sits oddly against a 59% over 2.5 line.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Seattle Sounders FC are favourites at 55%, with Houston Dynamo FC on 22% and the draw on 23%. Seattle Sounders FC are 7th and Houston Dynamo FC 5th in MLS. In their last five league games, Seattle Sounders FC won two and Houston Dynamo FC none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Seattle Sounders FC win or draw
- 78%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Houston Dynamo FC win or draw
- 45%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Seattle Sounders FC and 1.2 from Houston Dynamo FC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55% | 23% | 22% | Stats preview | #1657 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Seattle Sounders FC: last 6
DDLWWW · 11 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | at San Diego | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs CF Montreal | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Oct | at FC Dallas | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at New England Revolution | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Minnesota United FC | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: DWWWD
Houston Dynamo FC: last 6
DDDDLD · 9 scored, 11 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Minnesota United FC | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs FC Dallas | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | at San Diego | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Minnesota United FC | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Sporting Kansas City | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs FC Cincinnati | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: DDLDL
Season stats
| Seattle Sounders FC | Houston Dynamo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | Goals scored per game | 1.32 |
| 1.26 | Goals conceded per game | 1.26 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game at home | 1.19 |
| 1.06 | Scored per game away | 1.47 |
| 45% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| 58% | Both teams scored | 42% |
| 26% | Clean sheets | 39% |
| 23% | Failed to score | 29% |
| 1.65 | Yellow cards per game | 2.03 |
League matches only, 31 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Seattle Sounders FC | Houston Dynamo FC |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
MLS table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Dallas | 31 | +11 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 31 | +12 | 51 | LLDWW |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | +7 | 48 | LDDDW |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo FC | 31 | +2 | 48 | DDDDL |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders FC | 31 | +2 | 43 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | +1 | 42 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | +0 | 39 | WWDLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Seattle Sounders FC won 3, Houston Dynamo FC 0, 3 draws; 1.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Houston Dynamo FC | 0–1 | Seattle Sounders FC | Major League Soccer |
| 11 May 2025 | Houston Dynamo FC | 1–3 | Seattle Sounders FC | Major League Soccer |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Seattle Sounders FC | 0–0 | Houston Dynamo FC | Major League Soccer |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Houston Dynamo FC | 1–1 | Seattle Sounders FC | Major League Soccer |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Seattle Sounders FC | 0–0 | Houston Dynamo FC | Major League Soccer |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Seattle Sounders FC | 1–0 | Houston Dynamo FC | Major League Soccer |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutY. Gomez AndradeHamstring
- OutD. MusovskiHead
- OutN. PetkovicKnee
Show 2 more
- OutP. de La VegaCalf
- DoubtP. RothrockHamstring
- OutFelipe AndradeInjury
- OutJ. MaurerConcussion
From our match data feed · updated ET.
Match context
- Stadium
- Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington
- 72,000 seats · artificial turf
- Rest days
- Seattle Sounders FC 4Houston Dynamo FC 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Seattle Sounders FC 2 · Houston Dynamo FC 2
- Coaches
- B. Schmetzer
- Seattle Sounders FC, since Aug 2016
- Ben Olsen
- Houston Dynamo FC, since Feb 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
