Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Inter Miami to win: 66%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 80% · bookies 80%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings point the same way: Miami's home strength and higher table position justify the 66% home price, while leaky defences on both sides support the 80% over 2.5 line. Cincinnati's strong recent head-to-head keeps a measure of doubt, but nothing in the data suggests the published numbers are far off.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think FC Cincinnati's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make FC Cincinnati favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth sides score freely and concede plenty, so goals look likely
Miami score 2.73 per game at home but concede 1.71; Cincinnati concede 2.29 per game with just 10% clean sheets. Both teams score in 74% of each side's matches, and Miami concede 14 of their goals in the last 15 minutes while Cincinnati score 22 after the 76th.
Inter Miami: slightly overrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureMiami's home form and position give them the edge in a game that matters
Miami sit 2nd on 55 points, inside the Conference top spot race, and are W W D W D at home with 12 scored. Cincinnati are 7th on 42, holding the last direct play-off place, but have played three games in 14 days versus Miami's two.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices look fair, but the head-to-head warns against complacency
Cincinnati's away record is W W L D L with 11 conceded in five, so 16% away and 80% over 2.5 look about right.
Cincinnati: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Inter Miami CF are clear favourites at 66%, with FC Cincinnati on 16% and the draw on 18%. Inter Miami CF are 2nd and FC Cincinnati 7th in MLS. In their last five league games, Inter Miami CF won three and FC Cincinnati three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Inter Miami CF win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 82%
- FC Cincinnati win or draw
- 34%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 93%
- 3+ goals
- 80%
- 4+ goals
- 62%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 71%
- No
- 29%
We expect about 2.9 goals from Inter Miami CF and 1.4 from FC Cincinnati. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (8%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 3–1 (8%), 2–2 (6%), 2–0 (6%), 1–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 66% | 18% | 16% | Stats preview | #1731 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Inter Miami CF: last 6
LWWWLD · 12 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | at New York Red Bulls | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Atlanta United FC | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs New York City FC | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs DC United | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Columbus Crew | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs San Diego | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWDWD
FC Cincinnati: last 6
WWLLWL · 10 scored, 10 conceded
| 24 Oct | at DC United | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs DC United | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Columbus Crew | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | vs New England Revolution | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Atlanta United FC | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | at CF Montreal | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 away: WWLDL
Season stats
| Inter Miami CF | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | Goals scored per game | 2.06 |
| 1.71 | Goals conceded per game | 2.29 |
| 2.73 | Scored per game at home | 2.53 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 1.62 |
| 74% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| 74% | Both teams scored | 74% |
| 19% | Clean sheets | 10% |
| 10% | Failed to score | 16% |
| 2.58 | Yellow cards per game | 2.16 |
League matches only, 31 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Inter Miami CF | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
MLS table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | +43 | 70 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 31 | +20 | 55 | LWWWL |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 31 | +9 | 55 | WWWLL |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 31 | +9 | 51 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 31 | +7 | 47 | LDLWL |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | +12 | 46 | LDWWW |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 31 | -7 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 31 | -12 | 42 | DWDWL |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | -15 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 31 | +1 | 38 | WWWLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Inter Miami CF won 3, FC Cincinnati 2, 1 draw; 4.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | FC Cincinnati | 3–5 | Inter Miami CF | Major League Soccer |
| 23 Nov 2025 | FC Cincinnati | 0–4 | Inter Miami CF | Major League Soccer |
| 26 Jul 2025 | Inter Miami CF | 0–0 | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| 16 Jul 2025 | FC Cincinnati | 3–0 | Inter Miami CF | Major League Soccer |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Inter Miami CF | 2–0 | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| 6 Jul 2024 | FC Cincinnati | 6–1 | Inter Miami CF | Major League Soccer |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutT. AllendeKnee
- OutF. CaicedoLower-Body
- OutM. SilvettiInjury
- OutE. EcheniqueLeg
- OutT. MalaciaAnkle
- OutJ. MalatiniThigh
Show 1 more
- OutM. RobinsonLeg
From our match data feed · updated ET.
Match context
- Stadium
- Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
- 21,550 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Inter Miami CF 4FC Cincinnati 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Inter Miami CF 2 · FC Cincinnati 3
- Coaches
- Kily González
- Inter Miami CF, since Aug 2026
- Pat Noonan
- FC Cincinnati, since Feb 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
