Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Charlotte to win: 66%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 68% · bookies 68%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean Charlotte, with the coach and dressing room close to the published 66/18/16 and the sceptic shading Montréal up slightly on head-to-head. On goals, the coach backs the 68% over line while the sceptic trims it, so a home win with three or more goals is the shared reading.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Charlotte FC's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCharlotte's late-goal threat meets Montréal's leaky second half
Montréal concede 2.00 a game, with 17 of 62 conceded in 76-90, and fail to score 39% of the time. Both teams score 61% published; Charlotte's own rate is 71%.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureCharlotte's play-off push meets a side with little to play for
Charlotte sit 5th on 47 points, inside the play-off places but outside the direct play-off spots (1-7), so points matter. Montréal are 15th on 25 from 31 with W6 D7 L18. Charlotte have 3 days' rest, Montréal 4 after 3 games in 14 days.
Charlotte: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome price looks fair, but the goals line may be a touch high
66% home is backed by form: Charlotte W3 L3 in six, Montréal one win in six and D L L L D away with 3 scored, 7 conceded. But Montréal won 3 of the last 6 head-to-head, and 2.7 goals per game there sits below the 68% over 2.5 price.
Charlotte: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Charlotte FC are clear favourites at 66%, with CF Montréal on 16% and the draw on 18%. Charlotte FC are 5th and CF Montréal 15th in MLS. In their last five league games, Charlotte FC won one and CF Montréal one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Charlotte FC win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 82%
- CF Montréal win or draw
- 34%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 86%
- 3+ goals
- 68%
- 4+ goals
- 46%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 2.4 goals from Charlotte FC and 1.1 from CF Montréal. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 66% | 18% | 16% | Stats preview | #1729 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Charlotte FC: last 6
LDLWLW · 10 scored, 12 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Portland Timbers | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Philadelphia Union | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Oct | at Columbus Crew | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs FC Dallas | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Chicago Fire | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | at DC United | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLDWW
CF Montréal: last 6
LDDLLW · 6 scored, 10 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Nashville SC | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | vs Forge Canadian Championship | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Seattle Sounders | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs Atlanta United FC | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Toronto FC | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs FC Cincinnati | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: DLLLD
Season stats
| Charlotte FC | CF Montréal | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.77 | Goals scored per game | 1.16 |
| 1.55 | Goals conceded per game | 2.00 |
| 1.93 | Scored per game at home | 1.19 |
| 1.62 | Scored per game away | 1.13 |
| 71% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| 71% | Both teams scored | 52% |
| 16% | Clean sheets | 13% |
| 19% | Failed to score | 39% |
| 2.06 | Yellow cards per game | 2.10 |
League matches only, 31 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Charlotte FC | CF Montréal |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
MLS table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Miami | 31 | +20 | 55 | LWWWL |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 31 | +9 | 55 | WWWLL |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 31 | +9 | 51 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 31 | +7 | 47 | LDLWL |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | +12 | 46 | LDWWW |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 31 | -7 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 31 | -12 | 42 | DWDWL |
| … | |||||
| 12 | New York City FC | 31 | +2 | 35 | DDLLD |
| 13 | DC United | 31 | -17 | 33 | LLLWL |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 31 | -15 | 30 | LLWLD |
| 15 | CF Montréal | 31 | -26 | 25 | LDLLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Charlotte FC won 3, CF Montréal 3, 0 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | CF Montréal | 1–2 | Charlotte FC | Major League Soccer |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Charlotte FC | 1–4 | CF Montréal | Major League Soccer |
| 12 Apr 2025 | CF Montréal | 0–1 | Charlotte FC | Major League Soccer |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Charlotte FC | 2–0 | CF Montréal | Major League Soccer |
| 14 Sep 2024 | CF Montréal | 2–1 | Charlotte FC | Major League Soccer |
| 15 Jul 2023 | CF Montréal | 2–0 | Charlotte FC | Major League Soccer |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutN. BerchimasFoot
- OutB. BronicoGroin
- OutW. ClearyIllness
Show 3 more
- OutA. GoodwinFoot
- OutA. JohnShoulder
- DoubtA. DoucoureNot available
- OutB. CeballosLower-Body
- OutT. GillierUpper-Body
- OutB. HidalgoGroin
Show 2 more
- OutJ. NealLower-Body
- OutP. OwusuLower-Body
From our match data feed · updated ET.
Match context
- Stadium
- Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
- 75,412 seats · artificial turf
- Rest days
- Charlotte FC 3CF Montréal 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Charlotte FC 2 · CF Montréal 3
- Coaches
- D. Smith
- Charlotte FC, since Feb 2024
- Philippe Eullaffroy
- CF Montréal, since Feb 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
