Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Vancouver Whitecaps to win: 68%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 74% · bookies 74%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Vancouver Whitecaps's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersVancouver's home scoring and San Diego's leaky defence point to goals, but the hosts' form is patchy.
Vancouver score 2.33 per game at home and concede most goals in the 31-45 minute period; San Diego concede 1.87 per game and ship goals late, with 12 in the 76-90. Both teams score rates (48% and 61%) and 65% BTTS in the numbers support an open game.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureFirst hosts twelfth with everything to protect; the gap in stakes should show.
Both had 4 days' rest and 2 games in 14, so no load edge; Vancouver's last six read L W D D L D.
Vancouver Whitecaps: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe 68% home price looks fair, but the over may be a touch rich given Vancouver's recent scoring dip.
Head-to-head averages 5.0 goals per game and San Diego's last five away games produced 8 scored, 12 conceded, so the 74% over line has support. Yet Vancouver scored once or fewer in four of their last six, and their home games split 9 scored, 9 conceded.
Vancouver Whitecaps: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Vancouver Whitecaps are clear favourites at 68%, with San Diego FC on 15% and the draw on 17%. Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st and San Diego FC 12th in MLS. In their last five league games, Vancouver Whitecaps won one and San Diego FC none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Vancouver Whitecaps win or draw
- 85%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 83%
- San Diego FC win or draw
- 32%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 90%
- 3+ goals
- 74%
- 4+ goals
- 53%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 65%
- No
- 35%
We expect about 2.6 goals from Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.2 from San Diego FC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%), 1–1 (7%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 17% | 15% | Stats preview | #1656 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Vancouver Whitecaps: last 6
LWDDLD · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Colorado Rapids | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Austin | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | at St. Louis City | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Los Angeles FC | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | at Chicago Fire | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs DC United | 3–3 | D |
Last 5 at home: DLWLD
San Diego FC: last 6
DDDLDD · 13 scored, 16 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Seattle Sounders | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Los Angeles Galaxy | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | vs Houston Dynamo | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | at New York Red Bulls | 1–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Austin | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Inter Miami | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: DLDDL
Season stats
| Vancouver Whitecaps | San Diego FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.03 | Goals scored per game | 1.77 |
| 1.03 | Goals conceded per game | 1.87 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game at home | 2.31 |
| 1.75 | Scored per game away | 1.20 |
| 58% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| 48% | Both teams scored | 61% |
| 39% | Clean sheets | 23% |
| 19% | Failed to score | 16% |
| 1.97 | Yellow cards per game | 1.94 |
League matches only, 31 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Vancouver Whitecaps | San Diego FC |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
MLS table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | +31 | 55 | LWDDL |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 31 | +11 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 31 | +12 | 51 | LLDWW |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | +7 | 48 | LDDDW |
| … | |||||
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | +0 | 39 | WWDLW |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 31 | -4 | 37 | WDLDL |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 31 | -3 | 35 | DDDLD |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 31 | -8 | 35 | DWDDL |
| 14 | Austin | 31 | -17 | 34 | WLLLD |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 31 | -40 | 22 | LLLDL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, San Diego FC 1, 1 draw; 5.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | San Diego FC | 2–4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| 30 Nov 2025 | San Diego FC | 1–3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| 20 Jul 2025 | San Diego FC | 1–1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| 26 Jun 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3–5 | San Diego FC | Major League Soccer |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- DoubtS. AdekugbeMuscle
- DoubtK. G. Cabrera NakamuraFoot
- DoubtB. HalbouniKnee
Show 3 more
- DoubtR. ModestoMuscle
- DoubtT. MullerMuscle
- DoubtE. SabbiLeg
- OutE. AchouriLower-Body
- OutO. SoeLower-Body
From our match data feed · updated ET.
Match context
- Stadium
- BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
- 54,405 seats · artificial turf
- Rest days
- Vancouver Whitecaps 4San Diego FC 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Vancouver Whitecaps 2 · San Diego FC 2
- Coaches
- J. Sørensen
- Vancouver Whitecaps, since Jan 2025
- Mikey Varas
- San Diego FC, since Feb 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
