New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
New England Revolution to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 72%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
In short
New England Revolution are favourites at 46%, with Inter Miami CF on 33% and the draw on 21%. New England Revolution are 3rd and Inter Miami CF 2nd in MLS. In their last five league games, New England Revolution won three and Inter Miami CF three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- New England Revolution win or draw
- 67%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Inter Miami CF win or draw
- 54%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 88%
- 3+ goals
- 72%
- 4+ goals
- 51%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 71%
- No
- 29%
We expect about 2.0 goals from New England Revolution and 1.7 from Inter Miami CF. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (8%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%), 1–2 (7%), 3–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46% | 21% | 33% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2024 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
New England Revolution: last 6
WWWLLW · 10 scored, 11 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Philadelphia Union | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Chicago Fire | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | at FC Cincinnati | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Seattle Sounders | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Real Salt Lake | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Orlando City SC | 4–2 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLWDL
Inter Miami CF: last 6
LWWWLD · 12 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | at New York Red Bulls | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Atlanta United FC | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs New York City FC | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs DC United | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Columbus Crew | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs San Diego | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: LWLDD
Season stats
| New England Revolution | Inter Miami CF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | Goals scored per game | 2.35 |
| 1.35 | Goals conceded per game | 1.71 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game at home | 2.73 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 71% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 74% |
| 61% | Both teams scored | 74% |
| 19% | Clean sheets | 19% |
| 23% | Failed to score | 10% |
| 1.74 | Yellow cards per game | 2.58 |
League matches only, 31 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | New England Revolution | Inter Miami CF |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
MLS table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | +43 | 70 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 31 | +20 | 55 | LWWWL |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 31 | +9 | 55 | WWWLL |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 31 | +9 | 51 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 31 | +7 | 47 | LDLWL |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | +12 | 46 | LDWWW |
Match context
- Stadium
- Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
- 68,756 seats · artificial turf
- Rest days
- New England Revolution 8Inter Miami CF 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: New England Revolution 1 · Inter Miami CF 1
- Coaches
- Marko Mitrović
- New England Revolution
- Kily González
- Inter Miami CF, since Aug 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
