Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Vancouver Whitecaps to win: 61%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 52%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
In short
Vancouver Whitecaps are clear favourites at 61%, with Seattle Sounders FC on 17% and the draw on 22%. Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st and Seattle Sounders FC 7th in MLS. In their last five league games, Vancouver Whitecaps won one and Seattle Sounders FC two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Vancouver Whitecaps win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- Seattle Sounders FC win or draw
- 40%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 49%
- No
- 51%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Vancouver Whitecaps and 0.9 from Seattle Sounders FC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 22% | 17% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2056 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Vancouver Whitecaps: last 6
LWDDLD · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Colorado Rapids | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Austin | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | at St. Louis City | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Los Angeles FC | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | at Chicago Fire | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs DC United | 3–3 | D |
Last 5 at home: DLWLD
Seattle Sounders FC: last 6
DDLWWW · 11 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | at San Diego | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs CF Montreal | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Oct | at FC Dallas | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at New England Revolution | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Minnesota United FC | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: DLWDD
Season stats
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Seattle Sounders FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.03 | Goals scored per game | 1.32 |
| 1.03 | Goals conceded per game | 1.26 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.75 | Scored per game away | 1.06 |
| 58% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| 48% | Both teams scored | 58% |
| 39% | Clean sheets | 26% |
| 19% | Failed to score | 23% |
| 1.97 | Yellow cards per game | 1.65 |
League matches only, 31 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Vancouver Whitecaps | Seattle Sounders FC |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
MLS table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | +31 | 55 | LWDDL |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 31 | +11 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 31 | +12 | 51 | LLDWW |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | +7 | 48 | LDDDW |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | +2 | 48 | DDDDL |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders FC | 31 | +2 | 43 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | +1 | 42 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | +0 | 39 | WWDLW |
Match context
- Stadium
- BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
- 54,405 seats · artificial turf
- Rest days
- Vancouver Whitecaps 7Seattle Sounders FC 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Vancouver Whitecaps 1 · Seattle Sounders FC 1
- Coaches
- J. Sørensen
- Vancouver Whitecaps, since Jan 2025
- B. Schmetzer
- Seattle Sounders FC, since Aug 2016
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
