Forest Green Rovers vs Eastleigh prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Forest Green to win: 63%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings lean towards Forest Green, with probabilities clustered near the published 63% home win and none more than five points away. The Coach and Dressing Room both flag goals as the likelier outcome, pointing over 2.5, while the Sceptic's away-case concerns are offset by Forest Green's head-to-head record and home scoring.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Eastleigh's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Eastleigh favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersForest Green's second-half scoring and home output point to a home win with goals.
Eastleigh manage only 0.67 per game away, which caps their threat.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides sit in the bottom half and Eastleigh's away run makes this a home-leaning fixture.
Forest Green (17th, 15 points from 12 games) and Eastleigh (15th, 18 points from 14) are mid-table in a National League where the title zone is 1st and play-offs 2nd-7th.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe home win price looks right, but the away win may be slightly underrated.
Forest Green also concede 1.83 per game, which keeps an Eastleigh goal live. The over 2.5 line at 63% matches Forest Green's 67% over rate, so that number looks fair.
Eastleigh: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Forest Green Rovers are clear favourites at 63%, with Eastleigh on 19% and the draw on 18%. Forest Green Rovers are 17th and Eastleigh 15th in the National League. In their last five league games, Forest Green Rovers won none and Eastleigh one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Forest Green Rovers win or draw
- 81%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 82%
- Eastleigh win or draw
- 37%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 59%
- No
- 41%
We expect about 2.2 goals from Forest Green Rovers and 1.1 from Eastleigh. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63% | 18% | 19% | Stats preview | #1703 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Forest Green Rovers: last 6
WDLDDL · 12 scored, 11 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Chesham United FA Cup | 5–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Chesham United FA Cup | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Hartlepool | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Wealdstone | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Sutton Utd | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Boston United | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLDLW
Eastleigh: last 6
WWLLDL · 10 scored, 14 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Boston United | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Brentwood Town FA Cup | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at AFC Hornchurch | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Woking | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | vs Southend | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Harrogate Town | 1–4 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLLW
Season stats
| Forest Green Rovers | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | Goals scored per game | 1.29 |
| 1.83 | Goals conceded per game | 1.57 |
| 1.71 | Scored per game at home | 1.75 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game away | 0.67 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 71% |
| 17% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 17% | Failed to score | 14% |
| 2.42 | Yellow cards per game | 1.57 |
League matches only, 12 and 14 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Forest Green Rovers | Eastleigh |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | +2 | 20 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | +1 | 18 | WLWLW |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | +1 | 18 | LLLLW |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | -4 | 18 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | -6 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 17 | Forest Green Rovers | 12 | -3 | 15 | LDDLD |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 14 | -6 | 15 | WLLDW |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 14 | -6 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | -9 | 14 | LWWLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Forest Green Rovers won 4, Eastleigh 0, 2 draws; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | Eastleigh | 2–4 | Forest Green Rovers | National League |
| 25 Aug 2025 | Forest Green Rovers | 1–0 | Eastleigh | National League |
| 8 Feb 2025 | Forest Green Rovers | 2–1 | Eastleigh | National League |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Eastleigh | 1–3 | Forest Green Rovers | National League |
| 10 Jan 2017 | Eastleigh | 1–1 | Forest Green Rovers | National League |
| 13 Sep 2016 | Forest Green Rovers | 1–1 | Eastleigh | National League |
Match context
- Stadium
- The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
- 5,140 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Forest Green Rovers 8Eastleigh 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Forest Green Rovers 2 · Eastleigh 2
- Coaches
- Robert William Savage
- Forest Green Rovers, since Jul 2025
- K. Davis
- Eastleigh, since Jul 2025
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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