Altrincham vs Kidderminster Harriers prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Altrincham to win: 50%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 53% · bookies 53%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean towards Altrincham, in line with the published 50/26/25, with the Coach and Dressing Room slightly more confident than the Sceptic, who points to four draws in the last six head-to-head meetings.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Altrincham's chances are better than the bookmakers say. The Sceptic thinks a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersAltrincham concede most after the break (6 in minutes 46-60), while Kidderminster score 4 of their 16 goals in the last 15 minutes.
Altrincham: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureAltrincham's momentum and play-off position make them firm favourites
Altrincham sit 5th on 27 points, inside the Play-offs places 2-7, with four wins in their last six and no draws in the league (W9 D0 L5). Kidderminster are 12th on 20 points, closer to mid-table than the zones, winless in three league games.
Altrincham: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHead-to-head draws suggest the home price may be a touch short
Altrincham's 79% over 2.5 rate flatters the 53% total line given Kidderminster's games go over only 36% of the time. The published numbers look broadly fair, maybe slightly home-heavy.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Altrincham are favourites at 50%, with Kidderminster Harriers on 25% and the draw on 25%. Altrincham are 5th and Kidderminster Harriers 12th in the National League. In their last five league games, Altrincham won four and Kidderminster Harriers none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Altrincham win or draw
- 75%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Kidderminster Harriers win or draw
- 50%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 53%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Altrincham and 1.1 from Kidderminster Harriers. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% | 26% | 25% | Stats preview | #1701 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Altrincham: last 6
WWDWLW · 13 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Yeovil Town | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | at United of Manchester FA Cup | 6–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs United of Manchester FA Cup | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Aldershot Town | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Boreham Wood | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | at Gateshead | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: DWWWW
Kidderminster Harriers: last 6
LWDDLL · 5 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Worthing | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Solihull Moors FA Cup | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Carlisle | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Sutton Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | at Boreham Wood | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Yeovil Town | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: DLDWW
Season stats
| Altrincham | Kidderminster Harriers | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | Goals scored per game | 1.14 |
| 1.43 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 2.17 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.12 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 79% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| 71% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 14% | Clean sheets | 36% |
| 14% | Failed to score | 29% |
| 2.29 | Yellow cards per game | 2.86 |
League matches only, 14 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Altrincham | Kidderminster Harriers |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 14 | +14 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Southend | 14 | +12 | 28 | DWWDL |
| 4 | Worthing | 14 | +10 | 27 | WWWDW |
| 5 | Altrincham | 14 | +2 | 27 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Yeovil Town | 14 | +16 | 25 | LWWDW |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 14 | +2 | 23 | LWLLW |
| 8 | FC Halifax Town | 14 | +7 | 21 | DWWDL |
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | +6 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | -5 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | +4 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | +2 | 20 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | +1 | 18 | WLWLW |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | +1 | 18 | LLLLW |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | -4 | 18 | WLLDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Altrincham won 1, Kidderminster Harriers 1, 4 draws; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2024 | Kidderminster Harriers | 1–3 | Altrincham | National League |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Kidderminster Harriers | 0–0 | Altrincham | FA Trophy |
| 24 Oct 2023 | Altrincham | 1–1 | Kidderminster Harriers | National League |
| 21 Dec 2019 | Altrincham | 1–1 | Kidderminster Harriers | National League - North |
| 14 Sep 2019 | Kidderminster Harriers | 2–0 | Altrincham | National League - North |
| 2 Apr 2016 | Kidderminster Harriers | 1–1 | Altrincham | National League |
Match context
- Stadium
- The J. Davidson Stadium, Altrincham, Cheshire
- 6,085 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Altrincham 3Kidderminster Harriers 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Altrincham 3 · Kidderminster Harriers 2
- Coaches
- Phil Parkinson
- Altrincham, since Aug 2025
- Russell Penn
- Kidderminster Harriers, since Aug 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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