Wealdstone vs Solihull Moors prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wealdstone to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings land near the published numbers: a clear Wealdstone edge but not a strong one, and goals above the line more likely than not. The sceptic's note that the win probability may still be short is the only real tension, while the visitors' league form points down the ZONES table.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences should keep this above the goal line.
Solihull concede 2.64 per game, worst late with 12 in minutes 76-90, and keep a clean sheet just 7% of the time. Both teams score in 64% of the numbers' scenarios.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo sides near the bottom, but only the visitors are in real peril.
Three days' rest for both, but the hosts have won 3 of their last 6 while Solihull have lost 4.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongMarket leans the right way but 48% for the hosts may still be light.
Only the 2026 game, a 5-1, was lopsided. With that history I shade the hosts slightly below published and nudge over up a touch.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Wealdstone are favourites at 48%, with Solihull Moors on 28% and the draw on 24%. Wealdstone are 18th and Solihull Moors 23rd in the National League. In their last five league games, Wealdstone won two and Solihull Moors one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Wealdstone win or draw
- 72%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Solihull Moors win or draw
- 52%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 64%
- No
- 36%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Wealdstone and 1.4 from Solihull Moors. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (7%), 1–2 (7%), 2–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48% | 24% | 28% | Stats preview | #1727 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Wealdstone: last 6
WWWLLD · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Aldershot Town | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest U21 National League Cup | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Worthing FA Cup | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Yeovil Town | 0–6 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Barrow | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | at Forest Green | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWLWL
Solihull Moors: last 6
LLWLWL · 5 scored, 12 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Carlisle | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Kidderminster Harriers FA Cup | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Everton U21 National League Cup | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Worthing | 0–5 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Newcastle United U21 National League Cup | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs FC Halifax Town | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LLWLD
Season stats
| Wealdstone | Solihull Moors | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 1.71 | Goals conceded per game | 2.64 |
| 1.17 | Scored per game at home | 0.62 |
| 1.38 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 57% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| 57% | Both teams scored | 64% |
| 21% | Clean sheets | 7% |
| 21% | Failed to score | 29% |
| 2.43 | Yellow cards per game | 1.71 |
League matches only, 14 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Wealdstone | Solihull Moors |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | -4 | 18 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | -6 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 17 | Forest Green | 12 | -3 | 15 | LDDLD |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 14 | -6 | 15 | WLLDW |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 14 | -6 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | -9 | 14 | LWWLW |
| 21 | Boston United | 14 | -10 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 13 | -7 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 14 | -23 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | -23 | 4 | LLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Wealdstone won 1, Solihull Moors 1, 4 draws; 2.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Wealdstone | 5–1 | Solihull Moors | National League |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Solihull Moors | 1–1 | Wealdstone | National League |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Wealdstone | 1–1 | Solihull Moors | National League |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Solihull Moors | 1–1 | Wealdstone | National League |
| 1 Apr 2024 | Wealdstone | 0–1 | Solihull Moors | National League |
| 9 Mar 2024 | Wealdstone | 1–1 | Solihull Moors | FA Trophy |
Match context
- Stadium
- Grosvenor Vale, Ruislip, Middlesex
- 3,607 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Wealdstone 3Solihull Moors 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Wealdstone 3 · Solihull Moors 2
- Coaches
- Sam Cox
- Wealdstone, since Oct 2025
- James Quinn
- Solihull Moors, since Jul 2025
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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