Woking vs Boreham Wood prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Boreham Wood to win: 56%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 60% · bookies 60%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings point the same way: Boreham Wood's unbeaten league lead, six-game winning run and late scoring pattern make them clear favourites, with the published 56% away win if anything a touch conservative.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Boreham Wood's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoreham Wood's late-goal habit meets Woking's leaky defence after the break
Boreham Wood score 2.71 per game and 19 of their 38 goals come after the hour, while Woking concede 1.57 per game with 8 of 22 conceded in the last 30 minutes. Woking's 7% clean-sheet rate and 43% failed-to-score rate point to an open game.
Boreham Wood: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTop-of-the-table visitors arrive fresh enough; Woking under pressure at home
Boreham Wood lead the table on 38 points from 14 games, unbeaten (W12 D2 L0), and sit in the title promotion place. Woking are 13th on 18 points, well clear of the relegation places but with mixed form. Wood's away run is W W W D W.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongMarket prices look broadly right, though the away win may be a shade short
The 60% over-2.5 line sits on Wood's 86% over rate, yet Woking are only 50% over 2.5 and failed to score 43% of the time. I'd nudge the away win up slightly and keep goals near the line.
Boreham Wood: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Boreham Wood are favourites at 56%, with Woking on 21% and the draw on 23%. Woking are 13th and Boreham Wood 1st in the National League. In their last five league games, Woking won three and Boreham Wood five.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Woking win or draw
- 44%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Boreham Wood win or draw
- 79%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 60%
- 4+ goals
- 38%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 59%
- No
- 41%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Woking and 2.0 from Boreham Wood. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 1–3 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21% | 23% | 56% | Stats preview | #1741 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Woking: last 6
WLDLWL · 12 scored, 13 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Scunthorpe | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Boreham Wood FA Cup | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Leicester City U21 National League Cup | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Harrogate Town | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Eastleigh | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Solihull Moors | 2–4 | L |
Last 5 at home: DLLDW
Boreham Wood: last 6
WWWWWW · 22 scored, 5 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs AFC Fylde | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Middlesbrough U21 National League Cup | 7–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Woking FA Cup | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Oct | at Sutton Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Altrincham | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Kidderminster Harriers | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: WWWDW
Season stats
| Woking | Boreham Wood | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | Goals scored per game | 2.71 |
| 1.57 | Goals conceded per game | 0.93 |
| 1.57 | Scored per game at home | 3.00 |
| 1.71 | Scored per game away | 2.43 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 86% |
| 57% | Both teams scored | 71% |
| 7% | Clean sheets | 29% |
| 43% | Failed to score | 0% |
| 1.86 | Yellow cards per game | 1.43 |
League matches only, 14 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Woking | Boreham Wood |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 14 | +25 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 14 | +14 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Southend | 14 | +12 | 28 | DWWDL |
| 4 | Worthing | 14 | +10 | 27 | WWWDW |
| … | |||||
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | -5 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | +4 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | +2 | 20 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | +1 | 18 | WLWLW |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | +1 | 18 | LLLLW |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | -4 | 18 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | -6 | 18 | LLDLD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Woking won 0, Boreham Wood 4, 2 draws; 3.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Boreham Wood | 3–2 | Woking | FA Cup |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Woking | 2–2 | Boreham Wood | National League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Boreham Wood | 1–0 | Woking | National League |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Woking | 0–1 | Boreham Wood | National League |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Boreham Wood | 4–2 | Woking | National League |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Woking | 2–2 | Boreham Wood | National League |
Match context
- Stadium
- The Laithwaite Community Stadium, Woking, Surrey
- 6,036 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Woking 3Boreham Wood 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Woking 2 · Boreham Wood 3
- Coaches
- N. Ardley
- Woking, since Dec 2024
- Luke Garrard
- Boreham Wood, since Aug 2025
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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