FC Halifax Town vs Barrow prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Halifax 39%)
Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 55%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings land close to the published numbers: a tight match between two in-form sides level on 21 points, with Halifax's home scoring and Barrow's late goals pointing to chances at both ends. The sceptic's note on the low-scoring head-to-head is the main counterweight, but the season scoring rates support a lean towards goals.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth sides score freely and late, so goals look likely at both ends.
Barrow score 1.57 away and are strongest late too, with 13 goals after the hour. Both teams score lands at 64% and 62% for these sides.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo in-form sides level on points with plenty to play for.
Halifax sit 8th on 21 points, just outside the play-off places in 2-7, while Barrow are 9th on 21 points from a game fewer. Halifax are W3 D2 in their last five at home; Barrow have won four of their last six. Barrow also get an extra four rest days.
Halifax: slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices look fair, though the low-scoring head-to-head gives pause.
The last six meetings averaged just 1.5 goals, yet the market prices over 2.5 at 55% and both teams score at 58%. Halifax's 39% home edge is modest but their home form (W3 D2) and Barrow's away record (W3 L1 D1) roughly balance out. I'd nudge the draw up slightly.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
FC Halifax Town are slight favourites at 39%, with Barrow on 34% and the draw on 27%. FC Halifax Town are 8th and Barrow 9th in the National League. In their last five league games, FC Halifax Town won two and Barrow five.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FC Halifax Town win or draw
- 66%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Barrow win or draw
- 61%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 1.5 goals from FC Halifax Town and 1.4 from Barrow. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 0–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39% | 27% | 34% | Stats preview | #1717 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FC Halifax Town: last 6
DWWWWD · 16 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Southend | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs South Shields FA Cup | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Stoke City U21 National League Cup | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Gateshead | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Solihull Moors | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Boston United | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWWDD
Barrow: last 6
WDWWWW · 13 scored, 4 conceded
| 20 Oct | at Gloucester City FA Cup | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Gloucester City FA Cup | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Tamworth | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Wealdstone | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Scunthorpe | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Southend | 4–2 | W |
Last 5 away: WWWLD
Season stats
| FC Halifax Town | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | Goals scored per game | 1.69 |
| 1.21 | Goals conceded per game | 1.23 |
| 2.14 | Scored per game at home | 1.83 |
| 1.29 | Scored per game away | 1.57 |
| 57% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 69% |
| 64% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 29% | Clean sheets | 23% |
| 7% | Failed to score | 15% |
| 1.64 | Yellow cards per game | 2.77 |
League matches only, 14 and 13 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | FC Halifax Town | Barrow |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Altrincham | 14 | +2 | 27 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Yeovil Town | 14 | +16 | 25 | LWWDW |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 14 | +2 | 23 | LWLLW |
| 8 | FC Halifax Town | 14 | +7 | 21 | DWWDL |
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | +6 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | -5 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | +4 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | +2 | 20 | LDDLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: FC Halifax Town won 3, Barrow 1, 2 draws; 1.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2019 | Barrow | 1–2 | FC Halifax Town | National League |
| 19 Jan 2019 | Barrow | 0–0 | FC Halifax Town | National League |
| 15 Dec 2018 | Barrow | 1–2 | FC Halifax Town | FA Trophy |
| 7 Aug 2018 | FC Halifax Town | 2–0 | Barrow | National League |
| 2 Dec 2017 | FC Halifax Town | 0–1 | Barrow | National League |
| 8 Aug 2017 | Barrow | 0–0 | FC Halifax Town | National League |
Match context
- Stadium
- The Shay Stadium, Halifax, West Yorkshire
- 10,061 seats · grass
- Rest days
- FC Halifax Town 3Barrow 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: FC Halifax Town 2 · Barrow 2
- Coaches
- A. Lakeland
- FC Halifax Town, since Jul 2025
- Sam Foley
- Barrow, since Aug 2025
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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