Solihull Moors vs Kidderminster Harriers prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Kidderminster Harriers to win: 43%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 55%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The split comes on goals: the coach sees late-goal patterns supporting over 2.5, while the sceptic notes the low-scoring head-to-head and Kidderminster's 36% over rate, nudging the total down.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 2 think Kidderminster Harriers's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBottom-two Solihull face a mid-table side with far less to fear
Kidderminster are 12th on 20 points, comfortably clear of both zones.
Kidderminster Harriers: clearly underrated
Med The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongKidderminster favouritism looks fair, but the goals line may be a touch high
But head-to-head games average just 1.7 goals and Kidderminster's matches go over 2.5 only 36% of the time, so 55% for over 2.5 looks slightly generous.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Kidderminster Harriers are slight favourites at 43%, with Solihull Moors on 31% and the draw on 26%. Solihull Moors are 23rd and Kidderminster Harriers 12th in the National League. In their last five league games, Solihull Moors won one and Kidderminster Harriers none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Solihull Moors win or draw
- 57%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Kidderminster Harriers win or draw
- 69%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 55%
- 4+ goals
- 33%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Solihull Moors and 1.6 from Kidderminster Harriers. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23% | 24% | 53% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1753 | |
| 2 | 31% | 25% | 43% | Prices moved | #2092 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Solihull Moors: last 6
LLWLWL · 5 scored, 12 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Carlisle | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Kidderminster Harriers FA Cup | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Everton U21 National League Cup | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Worthing | 0–5 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Newcastle United U21 National League Cup | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs FC Halifax Town | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: LWWLL
Kidderminster Harriers: last 6
LWDDLL · 5 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Worthing | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Solihull Moors FA Cup | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Carlisle | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Sutton Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | at Boreham Wood | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Yeovil Town | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: DLDWW
Season stats
| Solihull Moors | Kidderminster Harriers | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.14 |
| 2.64 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 0.62 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 71% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| 64% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 7% | Clean sheets | 36% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 29% |
| 1.71 | Yellow cards per game | 2.86 |
League matches only, 14 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Solihull Moors | Kidderminster Harriers |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | +6 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | -5 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | +4 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | +2 | 20 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | +1 | 18 | WLWLW |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | +1 | 18 | LLLLW |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | -4 | 18 | WLLDL |
| … | |||||
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | -9 | 14 | LWWLW |
| 21 | Boston United | 14 | -10 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 13 | -7 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 14 | -23 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | -23 | 4 | LLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Solihull Moors won 2, Kidderminster Harriers 1, 0 draws; 1.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | Kidderminster Harriers | 1–2 | Solihull Moors | Friendlies Clubs |
| 27 Feb 2024 | Solihull Moors | 0–1 | Kidderminster Harriers | National League |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Kidderminster Harriers | 0–1 | Solihull Moors | National League |
Match context
- Stadium
- ARMCO Arena, Solihull, West Midlands
- 5,500 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Solihull Moors 7Kidderminster Harriers 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Solihull Moors 1 · Kidderminster Harriers 1
- Coaches
- James Quinn
- Solihull Moors, since Jul 2025
- Russell Penn
- Kidderminster Harriers, since Aug 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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