Wealdstone vs Southend United prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Southend to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 70%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three cards point the same way: Southend's firepower against a Wealdstone side shipping late goals makes a 2-5 win likely, and the goal numbers look sound rather than inflated. The Coach stresses goal timings, the Sceptic the BTTS record; with the home price generous, lean away win and over 2.5 goals.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersSouthend's attack meets a Wealdstone defence that leaks late goals
Wealdstone concede 7 of their 24 goals in the final 15 minutes; Southend score 10 of theirs in the same period. Both teams score in 69% of matches per the model.
Southend: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSouthend's league position and points gap make them clear favourites here
Southend sit 3rd with 28 points from 14 games, well inside the play-off places (2-7), while Wealdstone are 18th on 15 points. Both come in with 7 days of rest, but Wealdstone have played two games in 14 days to Southend's one. Wealdstone's recent 0-6 home loss to Yeovil underlines the gulf.
Southend: clearly underrated
Med The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongSouthend look underpriced; their record says far more than 48%
The model gives Southend 48%, but they have 0 games without scoring this season, 93% both teams scored and 2.57 goals per game away, while Wealdstone concede 1.71 per game. Southend beat Barrow away, a side Wealdstone lost to 1-2. The 2.5 line at 70% looks about right, maybe slightly low.
Southend: clearly underrated
Med Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Southend United are favourites at 48%, with Wealdstone on 31% and the draw on 21%. Wealdstone are 18th and Southend United 3rd in the National League. In their last five league games, Wealdstone won two and Southend United two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Wealdstone win or draw
- 52%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Southend United win or draw
- 70%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 87%
- 3+ goals
- 70%
- 4+ goals
- 48%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 69%
- No
- 31%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Wealdstone and 2.0 from Southend United. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–2 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (9%), 2–2 (7%), 2–1 (7%), 1–3 (6%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30% | 21% | 48% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1991 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Wealdstone: last 6
WWWLLD · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Aldershot Town | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest U21 National League Cup | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Worthing FA Cup | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Yeovil Town | 0–6 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Barrow | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | at Forest Green | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWLWL
Southend United: last 6
DLWWDL · 11 scored, 11 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs FC Halifax Town | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Berkhamsted FA Cup | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Boston United | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs AFC Fylde | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | at Eastleigh | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Barrow | 2–4 | L |
Last 5 away: WDWDD
Season stats
| Wealdstone | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Goals scored per game | 2.36 |
| 1.71 | Goals conceded per game | 1.50 |
| 1.17 | Scored per game at home | 2.14 |
| 1.38 | Scored per game away | 2.57 |
| 57% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 79% |
| 57% | Both teams scored | 93% |
| 21% | Clean sheets | 7% |
| 21% | Failed to score | 0% |
| 2.43 | Yellow cards per game | 1.93 |
League matches only, 14 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Wealdstone | Southend United |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 14 | +25 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 14 | +14 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Southend United | 14 | +12 | 28 | DWWDL |
| 4 | Worthing | 14 | +10 | 27 | WWWDW |
| 5 | Altrincham | 14 | +2 | 27 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Yeovil Town | 14 | +16 | 25 | LWWDW |
| … | |||||
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | -4 | 18 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | -6 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 17 | Forest Green | 12 | -3 | 15 | LDDLD |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 14 | -6 | 15 | WLLDW |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 14 | -6 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | -9 | 14 | LWWLW |
| 21 | Boston United | 14 | -10 | 12 | LLLDL |
Match context
- Stadium
- Grosvenor Vale, Ruislip, Middlesex
- 3,607 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Wealdstone 7Southend United 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Wealdstone 2 · Southend United 1
- Coaches
- Sam Cox
- Wealdstone, since Oct 2025
- Kieron Dyer
- Southend United, since Aug 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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