Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Harrogate to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 59% · bookies 59%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The gap in league standing and Harrogate's scoring rate underpin the away lean, while Forest Green's leaky defence and both-sides scoring rates keep the goals expectation high.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Harrogate Town's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky attacks meet in form - goals on both sides look likely.
Harrogate score heavily late (8 goals in 76-90), while Forest Green concede 5 in that same period.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureHarrogate's momentum and position make them the side with clarity of purpose here.
Harrogate sit 2nd on 31 points from 14 games inside the Play-offs zone, winning five of their last six. Forest Green are 17th on 15 points from 12 games, five points behind Harrogate's total, with two league defeats in their last three.
Harrogate: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPrices look broadly fair, but 41% away may underrate Harrogate's attack slightly.
Forest Green's 33% leans on a cup run, not league form. A shade of away lean beyond the numbers, but the 59% over 2.5 line sits comfortably with 58% at 3+ goals.
Forest Green: slightly overrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Harrogate Town are slight favourites at 42%, with Forest Green Rovers on 33% and the draw on 25%. Forest Green Rovers are 17th and Harrogate Town 2nd in the National League. In their last five league games, Forest Green Rovers won none and Harrogate Town five.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Forest Green Rovers win or draw
- 59%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Harrogate Town win or draw
- 67%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 36%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Forest Green Rovers and 1.6 from Harrogate Town. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 0–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33% | 25% | 41% | Stats preview | #1943 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Forest Green Rovers: last 6
WDLDDL · 12 scored, 11 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Chesham United FA Cup | 5–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Chesham United FA Cup | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Hartlepool | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Wealdstone | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Sutton Utd | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Boston United | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLDLW
Harrogate Town: last 6
WWDWWW · 12 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Sutton Utd | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Bury FA Cup | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Bury FA Cup | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Woking | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs AFC Hornchurch | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | at Hartlepool | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: DWWLW
Season stats
| Forest Green Rovers | Harrogate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | Goals scored per game | 2.29 |
| 1.83 | Goals conceded per game | 1.29 |
| 1.71 | Scored per game at home | 2.88 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 79% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 71% |
| 17% | Clean sheets | 29% |
| 17% | Failed to score | 0% |
| 2.42 | Yellow cards per game | 1.64 |
League matches only, 12 and 14 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Forest Green Rovers | Harrogate Town |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 14 | +25 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 14 | +14 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Southend | 14 | +12 | 28 | DWWDL |
| 4 | Worthing | 14 | +10 | 27 | WWWDW |
| 5 | Altrincham | 14 | +2 | 27 | WWLWW |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | +1 | 18 | LLLLW |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | -4 | 18 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | -6 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 17 | Forest Green Rovers | 12 | -3 | 15 | LDDLD |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 14 | -6 | 15 | WLLDW |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 14 | -6 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | -9 | 14 | LWWLW |
Match context
- Stadium
- The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
- 5,140 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Forest Green Rovers 10Harrogate Town 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Forest Green Rovers 2 · Harrogate Town 2
- Coaches
- Robert William Savage
- Forest Green Rovers, since Jul 2025
- Simon Weaver
- Harrogate Town, since Aug 2025
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
