Güemes vs Temperley prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Temperley to win: 72%, about 3 in 4
Goals call2 goals or fewer 50% · bookies 50%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three analysts agree that Temperley is the clear favourite to win the match, aligning with the published market odds. The consensus suggests a high probability of goals, with the over 2.5 line appearing fair given the attacking statistics of both sides.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTemperley's defensive stability contrasts sharply with Güemes' leaky home defense.
Temperley concedes only 0.83 goals per game in this competition. Güemes, however, has conceded 1.71 goals per game.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTemperley's strong league standing provides a significant advantage over the struggling Güemes.
Temperley is 3rd in the table with 60 points from 35 games. Güemes is 18th with 26 points. Both teams have 5 days of rest before this fixture.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market heavily favours Temperley, but their recent away form suggests a less certain victory.
Temperley's away form over the last five games was D L D W L. Güemes' home scoring rate of 0.82 is slightly better than their away form.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Temperley are clear favourites at 72%, with Güemes on 10% and the draw on 18%. Güemes are 18th and Temperley 3rd in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Güemes won one and Temperley two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Güemes win or draw
- 28%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 82%
- Temperley win or draw
- 90%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 50%
- 4+ goals
- 28%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 40%
- No
- 60%
We expect about 0.6 goals from Güemes and 2.1 from Temperley. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–2 (15%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 0–1 (14%), 0–3 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22% | 27% | 51% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1824 | |
| 2 | 10% | 18% | 72% | Prices moved | #2102 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Güemes: last 6
LWLLLL · 3 scored, 11 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Deportivo Maipu | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Almagro | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Patronato | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Colegiales | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | at Quilmes | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Midland | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLLLD
Temperley: last 6
LDWWLW · 8 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Chacarita Juniors | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | at San Martin S.J. | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Nueva Chicago | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Gimnasia Jujuy | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Deportivo Maipu | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Almagro | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: DLDWL
Season stats
| Güemes | Temperley | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.74 | Goals scored per game | 1.17 |
| 1.71 | Goals conceded per game | 0.83 |
| 0.82 | Scored per game at home | 1.78 |
| 0.67 | Scored per game away | 0.53 |
| 43% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| 54% | Both teams scored | 46% |
| 11% | Clean sheets | 37% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 34% |
League matches only, 35 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 35 | +18 | 63 | DWDDW |
| 2 | Atlanta | 35 | +8 | 61 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Temperley | 35 | +12 | 60 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 35 | +8 | 58 | LWDLD |
| 5 | Midland | 35 | +14 | 54 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 35 | +3 | 52 | LWDLW |
| … | |||||
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 35 | -8 | 39 | WWLWL |
| 16 | Patronato | 35 | -6 | 37 | LLWLW |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 35 | -9 | 37 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Güemes | 35 | -34 | 26 | LWLLL |
Match context
- Travel for Temperley
- 955 km
- Rest days
- Güemes 5Temperley 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Güemes 2 · Temperley 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 31°C · wind 16 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Primera Nacional average: 1.96 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
