Chaco For Ever vs Racing (Córdoba) prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Chaco For Ever to win: 56%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 60%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
The analysts agree that Chaco For Ever holds the advantage at home. While the draw remains a possibility, the combined data points towards a match with goals, favouring the home side's offensive capabilities.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersChaco's strong home attack is likely to overcome Racing's defensive frailties on the road.
Chaco scores 1.29 per game at home. Racing concedes 1.20 goals per game overall. Racing's away form has seen them concede 8 goals in 5 matches.
Chaco For Ever: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe pressure is on Chaco to maintain their position in the table against a struggling Racing side.
Chaco holds 43 points from 35 games (W11 D10 L14). Racing sits in 11th place with 40 points from 35 games (W10 D10 L15). Chaco has 7 days rest.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe published probabilities appear sound, though Racing's inability to score away is a key factor.
The published draw probability is 26%. Racing has failed to score in 40% of their games, and their away form shows they scored only 2 goals in 5 matches.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Chaco For Ever are favourites at 56%, with Racing (Córdoba) on 18% and the draw on 26%. Chaco For Ever are 9th and Racing (Córdoba) 11th in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Chaco For Ever won two and Racing (Córdoba) one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Chaco For Ever win or draw
- 81%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Racing (Córdoba) win or draw
- 44%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 67%
- 3+ goals
- 40%
- 4+ goals
- 20%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 42%
- No
- 58%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Chaco For Ever and 0.8 from Racing (Córdoba). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (15%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%), 0–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56% | 26% | 19% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1957 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Chaco For Ever: last 6
WLWDLW · 10 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Ferro Carril Oeste | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Central Norte | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Deportivo Madryn | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Defensores De Belgrano | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Ciudad de Bolívar | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Almirante Brown | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LDWWW
Racing (Córdoba): last 6
LLWDDL · 5 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs All Boys | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Ferro Carril Oeste | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Los Andes | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Central Norte | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Godoy Cruz | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Deportivo Madryn | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LDLLD
Season stats
| Chaco For Ever | Racing (Córdoba) | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Goals scored per game | 0.89 |
| 1.03 | Goals conceded per game | 1.20 |
| 1.29 | Scored per game at home | 1.28 |
| 0.78 | Scored per game away | 0.47 |
| 37% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 43% |
| 37% | Clean sheets | 29% |
| 31% | Failed to score | 40% |
League matches only, 35 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 35 | +5 | 51 | WDDLL |
| 7 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 35 | -1 | 51 | LWWWW |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 35 | +1 | 49 | DLWLW |
| 9 | Chaco For Ever | 35 | +0 | 43 | WLWDL |
| 10 | Los Andes | 35 | +1 | 42 | DDLLW |
| 11 | Racing (Córdoba) | 35 | -11 | 40 | LLWDD |
| 12 | Defensores De Belgrano | 35 | -7 | 39 | DDLDL |
| 13 | Atletico Mitre | 35 | -11 | 39 | LWDWL |
| 14 | Central Norte | 35 | -8 | 38 | DWDDD |
Match context
- Travel for Racing (Córdoba)
- 667 km
- Rest days
- Chaco For Ever 7Racing (Córdoba) 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Chaco For Ever 2 · Racing (Córdoba) 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 28°C · wind 10 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Primera Nacional average: 1.96 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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