Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba vs Almirante Brown prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba to win: 65%, about 2 in 3
Goals call2 goals or fewer 60% · bookies 60%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on a strong home advantage for Godoy Cruz, supported by their superior form and scoring metrics. While the market is largely accurate, the high probability of goals suggests a potentially open match despite the defensive stats of Almirante Brown.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba are underrated; The Dressing Room thinks a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersGodoy Cruz's high-scoring home attack is likely to dominate this encounter.
Godoy Cruz averages 2.00 goals scored per game at home. Almirante Brown averages only 0.94 goals scored per game away.
Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureGodoy Cruz holds a significant advantage with their high table position and superior recent form.
Godoy Cruz sits 2nd in the table with 63 points, while Almirante Brown is 6th with 51 points. Godoy Cruz has been in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 6 fixtures.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market appears to accurately reflect the disparity in quality and recent form between the two sides.
The published odds give Godoy Cruz a 66% chance of winning. Godoy Cruz's expected goals are 1.7, compared to Almirante Brown's 0.6.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba are clear favourites at 65%, with Almirante Brown on 12% and the draw on 23%. Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba are 2nd and Almirante Brown 6th in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba won three and Almirante Brown one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win or draw
- 88%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Almirante Brown win or draw
- 34%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 67%
- 3+ goals
- 40%
- 4+ goals
- 20%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 35%
- No
- 65%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba and 0.6 from Almirante Brown. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (18%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 3–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52% | 29% | 19% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1856 | |
| 2 | 66% | 23% | 12% | Prices moved | #2119 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba: last 6
WWDWDW · 15 scored, 7 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Atletico Mitre | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs CA Estudiantes | 6–3 | W |
| 12 Oct | at All Boys | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Los Andes | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Racing Cordoba | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Deportivo Moron | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWL
Almirante Brown: last 6
WDDLLL · 6 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Deportivo Moron | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Colon Santa Fe | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs San Miguel | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | at San Telmo | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Acassuso | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Chaco For Ever | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: DLLDW
Season stats
| Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | Goals scored per game | 0.83 |
| 0.91 | Goals conceded per game | 0.69 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.94 |
| 0.94 | Scored per game away | 0.71 |
| 49% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 20% |
| 49% | Both teams scored | 29% |
| 34% | Clean sheets | 54% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 40% |
League matches only, 35 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 35 | +7 | 65 | LWDLW |
| 2 | Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | 35 | +19 | 63 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 35 | +14 | 58 | LLLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 35 | +20 | 57 | WDLWD |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 35 | +16 | 57 | WDDWD |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 35 | +5 | 51 | WDDLL |
| 7 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 35 | -1 | 51 | LWWWW |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 35 | +1 | 49 | DLWLW |
| 9 | Chaco For Ever | 35 | +0 | 43 | WLWDL |
Match context
- Travel for Almirante Brown
- 968 km
- Rest days
- Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba 5Almirante Brown 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba 2 · Almirante Brown 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 26°C · wind 0 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Primera Nacional average: 1.96 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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