Udinese vs AS Roma prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
AS Roma to win: 62%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 59% · bookies 59%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings converge on Roma: an unbeaten 3rd-placed side with 2.25 goals per away game against a home team scoring 0.40 per game at home and on a six-match losing run. The published 62% away win looks broadly fair, with the sceptic nudging it a shade lower.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersRoma's away scoring meets a home side that barely scores
Udinese concede 2.25 per game, so Roma's attack should find room even in Udine.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureRoma's unbeaten run looms over a struggling Udinese
Roma sit 3rd with 18 points from 8 games, unbeaten, while Udinese have 4 points from 8 and six straight defeats. Roma have had 7 days rest to Udinese's 5, and their away form reads D D W D W. The gap in stakes and momentum points firmly to the visitors.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPrices look fair, though 62% away may be a touch high
Udinese scored 2.33 per game away but only 0.40 at home, and Roma concede just 0.75 per game, so a home win at 17% seems right. Both teams score 55% published, yet Roma's 38% BTTS rate and Udinese's 38% failure-to-score suggest the 55% may be slightly generous. Overall the numbers hold up.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
AS Roma are clear favourites at 62%, with Udinese on 17% and the draw on 21%. Udinese are 17th and AS Roma 3rd in Serie A. In their last five league games, Udinese won none and AS Roma two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Udinese win or draw
- 38%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- AS Roma win or draw
- 83%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 36%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Udinese and 2.1 from AS Roma. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–2 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 0–3 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17% | 19% | 65% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1881 | |
| 2 | 17% | 21% | 62% | Prices moved | #2127 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Udinese: last 6
LLLLLL · 5 scored, 15 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs AC Milan | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Lecce | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Oct | at Torino | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Cagliari | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | at Inter | 3–5 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Lazio | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: LLLLW
AS Roma: last 6
DWWLDD · 14 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Napoli | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Genoa | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League | 3–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Como | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Inter | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: DDWDW
Season stats
| Udinese | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Goals scored per game | 2.38 |
| 2.25 | Goals conceded per game | 0.75 |
| 0.40 | Scored per game at home | 2.50 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game away | 2.25 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 62% |
| 38% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Serie A table
Match context
- Travel for AS Roma
- 468 km
- Rest days
- Udinese 5AS Roma 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Udinese 2 · AS Roma 3
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- K. Runjaic
- Udinese, since Oct 2026
- G. Gasperini
- AS Roma, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Serie A average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
