Frosinone vs Torino prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Frosinone to win: 43%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Frosinone are slight favourites at 43%, with Torino on 32% and the draw on 25%. Frosinone are 6th and Torino 8th in Serie A. In their last five league games, Frosinone won two and Torino three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Frosinone win or draw
- 68%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Torino win or draw
- 57%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 64%
- No
- 36%
We expect about 1.8 goals from Frosinone and 1.5 from Torino. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44% | 22% | 34% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1924 | |
| 2 | 43% | 25% | 32% | Prices moved | #2199 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Frosinone: last 6
DWLWDW · 14 scored, 12 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Atalanta | 4–4 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs Sassuolo | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Napoli | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Como | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Genoa | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Venezia | 3–2 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWLW
Torino: last 6
WWWDLW · 11 scored, 7 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Monza | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | at Parma | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Udinese | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Bologna | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs AS Roma | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | at Fiorentina | 2–1 | W |
Last 4 away: WDWL
Season stats
| Frosinone | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.12 | Goals scored per game | 1.62 |
| 1.62 | Goals conceded per game | 1.38 |
| 2.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 1.75 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Serie A table
Team news: injuries and suspensions
No absences reported.
- OutF. IsraelShoulder
- OutP. PellegriJumpers Knee
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for Torino
- 595 km
- Rest days
- Frosinone 7Torino 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Frosinone 1 · Torino 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 18°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- M. Alvini
- Frosinone, since Oct 2026
- Ignazio Abate
- Torino, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Serie A average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
