Como vs Venezia prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Como to win: 74%, about 3 in 4
Goals call3+ goals 70% · bookies 70%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Como are clear favourites at 74%, with Venezia on 11% and the draw on 15%. Como are 5th and Venezia 20th in Serie A. In their last five league games, Como won three and Venezia one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Como win or draw
- 89%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 85%
- Venezia win or draw
- 26%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 88%
- 3+ goals
- 70%
- 4+ goals
- 49%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 2.7 goals from Como and 1.0 from Venezia. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65% | 20% | 15% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1923 | |
| 2 | 74% | 15% | 11% | Prices moved | #2138 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Como: last 6
WWWLDL · 11 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Sassuolo | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Manchester United UEFA Champions League | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Fiorentina | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | at Feyenoord UEFA Champions League | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs AS Roma | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Frosinone | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WWDWW
Venezia: last 6
LWLLLL · 6 scored, 13 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Genoa | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Napoli | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | at Atalanta | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Lazio | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Fiorentina | 2–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | at Frosinone | 2–3 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLLL
Season stats
| Como | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | Goals scored per game | 0.75 |
| 0.88 | Goals conceded per game | 2.12 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 0.75 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Serie A table
Team news: injuries and suspensions
No absences reported.
- OutM. ŠverkoHip
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for Venezia
- 256 km
- Rest days
- Como 7Venezia 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Como 3 · Venezia 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 13°C · wind 2 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- Cesc Fàbregas
- Como, since Oct 2026
- D. Nicola
- Venezia, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Serie A average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
