Venezia vs Inter prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Inter to win: 72%, about 3 in 4
Goals call3+ goals 72% · bookies 72%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three analyses point towards a decisive Inter win, supported by Inter's superior league position and goal-scoring metrics. The high probability of goals is consistent across all readings, suggesting a high-scoring match.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks Venezia are underrated; The Dressing Room thinks Inter are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersInter's high scoring rate and strong away form suggest a comfortable victory.
Inter averages 2.88 goals per game and 2.00 away goals per game. Venezia concedes 2.12 goals per game. Inter has failed to concede in 25% of matches.
Venezia: slightly underrated
More goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressureInter's position at the top of the table contrasts sharply with Venezia's struggles.
Inter is 1st in the table with 22 points from 8 games. Venezia is 20th with only 3 points from 8 games. Both teams have 3 days of rest.
Inter: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market heavily favours Inter, which aligns with their strong historical performance against Venezia.
In the last 5 encounters, Inter won 5 times with 2.6 goals per game. Venezia has failed to score in 50% of their matches.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Inter are clear favourites at 72%, with Venezia on 12% and the draw on 16%. Venezia are 20th and Inter 1st in Serie A. In their last five league games, Venezia won one and Inter four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Venezia win or draw
- 28%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 84%
- Inter win or draw
- 88%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 89%
- 3+ goals
- 72%
- 4+ goals
- 51%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 60%
- No
- 40%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Venezia and 2.7 from Inter. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–2 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 0–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%), 0–3 (8%), 1–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12% | 16% | 72% | Stats preview | #1686 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Venezia: last 6
LWLLLL · 6 scored, 13 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Genoa | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Napoli | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | at Atalanta | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Lazio | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Fiorentina | 2–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | at Frosinone | 2–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLLLW
Inter: last 6
WWWLWD · 14 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Fiorentina | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Shakhtar Donetsk UEFA Champions League | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Bologna | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Club Brugge KV UEFA Champions League | 3–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Parma | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at AS Roma | 2–2 | D |
Last 4 away: WDLW
Season stats
| Venezia | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | Goals scored per game | 2.88 |
| 2.12 | Goals conceded per game | 1.25 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game at home | 3.40 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 38% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 88% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 12% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Serie A table
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Venezia won 0, Inter 5, 0 draws; 2.6 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Inter | 5–1 | Venezia | Coppa Italia |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Venezia | 0–1 | Inter | Serie A |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Inter | 1–0 | Venezia | Serie A |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Inter | 2–1 | Venezia | Serie A |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Venezia | 0–2 | Inter | Serie A |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutA. AdoranteHernia
- OutB. FranjicShoulder
- OutM. SverkoHip
Show 1 more
- DoubtT. CorreiaThigh
- OutC. JonesThigh
- OutLuis HenriqueThigh
- OutL. MartinezThigh
Show 2 more
- OutB. PavardThigh
- OutJ. StonesInjury
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for Inter
- 245 km
- Rest days
- Venezia 3Inter 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Venezia 2 · Inter 3
- Weather at kick-off
- 16°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Luca J. Pairetto
- Coaches
- D. Nicola
- Venezia, since Oct 2026
- C. Chivu
- Inter, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Serie A average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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