Torino vs Como prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour forecast
Who wins?
Como to win: 53%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 57%
Bookmakers agree with us.
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers': we trim Como's win probability slightly, from 55% to 53%, reflecting Torino's three-match league winning run and home advantage. The Sceptic's larger 15-point shift towards Torino was not followed in full, because Como's recent form and their four wins in the last five league meetings still carry real weight.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Torino's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Torino favourites.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsComo's recent form and historical success against Torino could lead to a competitive match.
Torino is missing five players, including Mandragora (a doubt) and Israel. Como has secured three consecutive wins and is expected to field Nico Paz in their starting lineup.
The Dressing Room
mood and pressureComo's strong recent form and historical success against Torino give them the edge.
Torino is seeking a fourth consecutive league win to improve European prospects. Como has secured three consecutive wins across all competitions.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongComo's recent form and historical dominance in this fixture give them the edge.
Torino is seeking a fourth consecutive league win, a milestone not achieved since 2015. Como has secured three consecutive wins across all competitions. Historically, Torino has the upper hand in Serie A, but Como has won four of the last five Serie A meetings against Torino.
Torino: strongly underrated
High AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
In-form sides meet in Turin: Torino have won three league matches in a row, while Como have won three straight in all competitions and sit fifth. Como have won the last three Serie A meetings between the clubs, but Torino's home form keeps this closer than the market suggests. Both teams have significant absence lists.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Torino win or draw
- 47%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Como win or draw
- 78%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 57%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Torino and 1.9 from Como. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 1–3 (6%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 20% | 25% | 55% | 57% |
| Goals model | 35% | 28% | 37% | 52% |
| AI analysts | 34% | 28% | 39% | 54% |
| Our forecast | 22% | 26% | 53% | 58% |
Verdict: Our numbers stay close to the market because the evidence points in both directions: Como have the better form and recent head-to-head record, while Torino are in form at home with a compact 3-5-2.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Torino: last 6
WWWDLW · 11 scored, 7 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Monza | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | at Parma | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Udinese | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Bologna | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs AS Roma | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | at Fiorentina | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWLLL
Como: last 6
WWWLDL · 11 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Sassuolo | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Manchester United UEFA Champions League | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Fiorentina | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | at Feyenoord UEFA Champions League | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs AS Roma | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Frosinone | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 away: WLLWW
Season stats
| Torino | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | Goals scored per game | 1.75 |
| 1.38 | Goals conceded per game | 0.88 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.33 |
| 1.75 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 75% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 75% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 12% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 12% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Serie A table
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Torino won 1, Como 3, 0 draws; 3.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Como | 6–0 | Torino | Serie A |
| 24 Nov 2025 | Torino | 1–5 | Como | Serie A |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Como | 1–0 | Torino | Serie A |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Torino | 1–0 | Como | Serie A |
Team news: lineups Expected
Forward
- 3-5-2: Perri; Coco, Ismajli, Comuzzo; Belghali, Vlasic, Braganca, Fitz-Jim, Cacciamani; Adams, Simeone
Forward
- 4-2-3-1: Sánchez; Couto, Ramón, Kempf, Valle; Perrone, Milla; Da Cunha, Nico Paz, Baturina, Douvikas
Expected from team news sources; “?” = sources disagree or the player is doubtful (hover for why). Confirmed lineups with shirt numbers replace this about an hour before kick-off.
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutF. IsraelShoulder
- OutR. RodriguezThigh
- DoubtN. FortiniThigh
Show 2 more
- DoubtE. IlkhanMuscle
- DoubtR. MandragoraMuscle
- OutT. ChalobahInjury
- OutA. DiaoThigh
- OutJ. RodriguezInjury
Show 2 more
- DoubtM. KeanLeg
- DoubtM. LiberaliLeg
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Key facts
- Torino sit eighth on 13 points; Como are fifth on 17 points after eight matches.[1][2][4]
- Torino have won their last three league matches, against Udinese, Parma and Monza.[2][4]
- Torino could record four consecutive league wins for the first time since 2015.[4]
- Como are missing five players, including Kean (a doubt), Diao and Liberali (a doubt), but Nico Paz is expected to return to the starting XI.[3][4][5]
- Torino are expected to line up in a 3-5-2, with Como using a 4-2-3-1.[3][4]
- Torino are chasing European places while Como want to consolidate their high table position.[4]
Still unclear
- Whether Nico Paz starts for Como
- The choice between Fitz-Jim and Gineitis for Torino
Sources
- bbc.co.uk – Torino vs Como: Italian Serie A stats & head-to-head - BBC (2026-10-27)
- comofootball.com – Match Preview | Torino - Como 1907 (2026-10-27)
- onefootball.com – Serie A tonight, Lazio at Sassuolo and Torino v Como, probable line-ups and TV - OneFootball (2026-10-27)
- ilmessaggero.it – Torino vs Como: A Clash to Reshape the Standings - Il Messaggero (2026-10-27)
- heavy.com – Lazio & Como Hit the Road: Serie A’s Hottest Teams Tested Tonight - Heavy.com (2026-10-27)
Match context
- Travel for Como
- 136 km
- Rest days
- Torino 4Como 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Torino 2 · Como 4
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 1 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Guiseppe Collu
- Coaches
- Ignazio Abate
- Torino, since Oct 2026
- Cesc Fàbregas
- Como, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Serie A average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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