Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Plzen to win: 57%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 55% · ✓ 3 goals
In short
Plzen are favourites at 57%, with Levski Sofia on 20% and the draw on 23%. Plzen are 32nd and Levski Sofia 26th in the Europa League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Plzen won two and Levski Sofia one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Plzen win or draw
- 80%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Levski Sofia win or draw
- 43%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 55%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 54%
- No
- 46%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Plzen and 1.0 from Levski Sofia. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 3–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Plzen: last 5
WLLWL · 9 scored, 11 conceded
| 18 Oct | at FK Jablonec Czech Liga | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Oct | at Ferencvarosi TC | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs Union St. Gilloise | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs FK Crvena Zvezda | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Aug | at FK Crvena Zvezda | 0–3 | L |
Last 2 at home: LW
Levski Sofia: last 6
WDLLDW · 4 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Spartak Pleven Cup | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | at NEC Nijmegen | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Sep | vs Red Bull Salzburg | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Aug | at AEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Aug | vs AEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | at Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: WDLWD
Season stats
| Plzen | Levski Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 0.50 |
| 2.25 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 2.50 | Scored per game at home | 0.00 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 100% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 4 and 2 games.
Europa League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | +0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| … | |||||
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutP. AduCoach's decision
- OutV. JemelkaKnee
- OutM. TvrdonOff the roster
- OutR. KirilovKnee
- OutA. MitkovInjury
- OutG. TrdinInjury
Show 3 more
- OutP. HristovOff the roster
- OutO. KamdemOff the roster
- OutM. SangareOff the roster
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- Plzen 4Levski Sofia 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Plzen 2 · Levski Sofia 2
- Referee
- Alejandro Hernandez
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
