Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Wide open: no clear favourite (Celta Vigo 37%)

Celtic36%Bookies 36

Draw27%Bookies 27

Celta Vigo37%Bookies 37

Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52% · ✓ 3 goals

✓ Favourite won (Celta Vigo 37%) Ledger record ↗

AI forecastStats & H2HLineups & info

In short

Celta Vigo are slight favourites at 37%, with Celtic on 36% and the draw on 27%. Celtic are 33rd and Celta Vigo 30th in the Europa League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Celtic won two and Celta Vigo two.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Celtic win or draw: 63%
Either team wins (no draw): 73%
Celta Vigo win or draw: 64%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 76%
3+ goals: 52%
4+ goals: 30%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 56%
No: 44%

We expect about 1.4 goals from Celtic and 1.4 from Celta Vigo. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published	Home	Draw	Away	Reason	Record
1	21 Oct 20:09	36%	27%	37%	Stats preview	#496

Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Celtic: last 6

WLWLLW · 12 scored, 9 conceded

18 Oct	vs Heart Of Midlothian Premiership	7–1	W
15 Oct	at Benfica	1–4	L
11 Oct	at Motherwell Premiership	2–0	W
20 Sep	vs Rangers Premiership	0–1	L
17 Sep	vs Ferencvarosi TC	1–3	L
9 Sep	at ST Johnstone Premiership	1–0	W

Last 5 at home: WLLWW

Celta Vigo: last 6

WLDWLD · 9 scored, 5 conceded

18 Oct	vs Alaves La Liga	2–1	W
15 Oct	vs Juventus	1–2	L
11 Oct	at Elche La Liga	0–0	D
19 Sep	vs Racing Santander La Liga	5–0	W
16 Sep	at Omonia Nicosia	0–1	L
13 Sep	vs Malaga La Liga	1–1	D

Last 5 away: DLDDD

Season stats

Celtic		Celta Vigo
1.00	Goals scored per game	0.50
3.50	Goals conceded per game	1.50
1.00	Scored per game at home	1.00
1.00	Scored per game away	0.00
100%	Matches over 2.5 goals	50%
100%	Both teams scored	50%
0%	Clean sheets	0%
0%	Failed to score	50%

League matches only, 2 games each.

Europa League table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	League form
22	Anderlecht	3	+1	3	WLL
23	1899 Hoffenheim	3	+0	3	WLL
24	AC Milan	3	-1	3	LWL
25	Celta Vigo	3	-1	3	WLL
26	OFI	3	-1	3	LLW
27	Jagiellonia	3	-2	3	LWL
28	Torreense	3	-3	3	LLW
…
32	Lech Poznan	3	-8	1	DLL
33	Plzen	3	-5	0	LLL
34	Marseille	3	-5	0	LLL
35	Celtic	3	-6	0	LLL
36	Ararat-Armenia	3	-9	0	LLL