Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Olympiakos Piraeus to win: 64%, about 2 in 3

Olympiakos Piraeus64%Bookies 64

Draw20%Bookies 20

Sparta Praha16%Bookies 16

Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 55% · ✗ 1 goals

✓ Favourite won (Olympiakos Piraeus 64%) Ledger record ↗

AI forecastStats & H2HLineups & info

In short

Olympiakos Piraeus are clear favourites at 64%, with Sparta Praha on 16% and the draw on 20%. Olympiakos Piraeus are 12th and Sparta Praha 14th in the Europa League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Olympiakos Piraeus won three and Sparta Praha two.

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Win or draw (double chance)

Olympiakos Piraeus win or draw: 84%
Either team wins (no draw): 80%
Sparta Praha win or draw: 36%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 78%
3+ goals: 55%
4+ goals: 32%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 50%
No: 50%

We expect about 2.0 goals from Olympiakos Piraeus and 0.9 from Sparta Praha. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 2–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 3–0 (8%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published	Home	Draw	Away	Reason	Record
1	21 Oct 20:09	64%	20%	16%	Stats preview	#500

Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Olympiakos Piraeus: last 5

WWWLD · 6 scored, 3 conceded

18 Oct	at Panetolikos Super League 1	2–0	W
15 Oct	at Marseille	1–0	W
16 Sep	vs Jagiellonia	2–1	W
11 Aug	at NEC Nijmegen UEFA Champions League	1–2	L
4 Aug	vs NEC Nijmegen UEFA Champions League	0–0	D

Last 2 at home: WD

Sparta Praha: last 5

DDWLW · 7 scored, 6 conceded

18 Oct	at Baník Ostrava Czech Liga	0–0	D
15 Oct	vs Lillestrom	1–1	D
16 Sep	at Ararat-Armenia	4–1	W
11 Aug	at Lyon UEFA Champions League	0–3	L
4 Aug	vs Lyon UEFA Champions League	2–1	W

Last 3 away: DWL

Season stats

Olympiakos Piraeus		Sparta Praha
1.50	Goals scored per game	2.50
0.50	Goals conceded per game	1.00
2.00	Scored per game at home	1.00
1.00	Scored per game away	4.00
50%	Matches over 2.5 goals	50%
50%	Both teams scored	100%
50%	Clean sheets	0%
0%	Failed to score	0%

League matches only, 2 games each.

Europa League table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	League form
2	Bayer Leverkusen	3	+8	9	WWW
3	Bournemouth	3	+7	9	WWW
4	Ferencvarosi TC	3	+6	9	WWW
5	Olympiakos Piraeus	3	+3	9	WWW
6	Union St. Gilloise	3	+7	7	WDW
7	Juventus	3	+6	7	DWW
8	Beşiktaş	3	+4	7	DWW
…
13	Rennes	3	+1	5	DWD
14	Real Sociedad	3	+5	4	WDL
15	Crystal Palace	3	+3	4	DLW
16	Sparta Praha	3	+2	4	LDW
17	Levski Sofia	3	+0	4	WDL
18	Dinamo Zagreb	3	-1	4	LWD
19	Sturm Graz	3	-2	4	WLD