OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Bayer Leverkusen to win: 81%, about 4 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 72% · bookies 72% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
The consensus points strongly towards a Bayer Leverkusen victory, supported by their excellent season statistics and current league position. While the Sceptic suggests the market might be too confident, the overwhelming statistical advantage remains clear.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersLeverkusen's defensive solidity meets OFI's attacking intent.
Bayer Leverkusen has conceded 0.00 goals per game and maintains 100% clean sheets in this competition. OFI averages 2.50 goals scored per game at home.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe gap in league standing suggests a significant disparity in current form.
Bayer Leverkusen is 2nd in the table with 6 points from 2 games. OFI sits 18th with 3 points from 2 games. Both teams have had 4 days rest since their last fixture.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market may be slightly overestimating the dominance of the away side.
Both teams have scored in 52% of matches in this competition. Bayer Leverkusen has scored 16 goals in its last 5 away matches, but OFI has conceded 0 goals in its last 2 home games.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Bayer Leverkusen are clear favourites at 81%, with OFI on 7% and the draw on 12%. OFI are 18th and Bayer Leverkusen 2nd in the Europa League. In their last five matches across all competitions, OFI won three and Bayer Leverkusen five.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- OFI win or draw
- 19%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 88%
- Bayer Leverkusen win or draw
- 93%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 89%
- 3+ goals
- 72%
- 4+ goals
- 51%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 52%
- No
- 48%
We expect about 0.8 goals from OFI and 2.9 from Bayer Leverkusen. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–2 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 0–3 (10%), 1–2 (8%), 1–3 (8%), 0–4 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7% | 12% | 81% | Stats preview | #478 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
OFI: last 5
LLWWW · 11 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Kalamata Super League 1 | 3–4 | L |
| 15 Oct | at Rennes | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | at CSKA Sofia | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | vs CSKA Sofia | 3–0 | W |
Last 2 at home: WW
Bayer Leverkusen: last 6
WWWWWD · 16 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs SC Freiburg Bundesliga | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | at Lech Poznan | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | 4–3 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs RB Leipzig Bundesliga | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Celje | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at FC Augsburg Bundesliga | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: WWDLW
Season stats
| OFI | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 3.00 |
| 0.50 | Goals conceded per game | 0.00 |
| 2.50 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 4.00 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 25% | Both teams scored | 0% |
| 75% | Clean sheets | 100% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 4 and 2 games.
Europa League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| … | |||||
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | +0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutN. ChristogeorgosNot available
- OutA. Leya IsekaGroin
- OutN. MarinakisGroin
Show 1 more
- OutA. ChatzigiovanisOff the roster
- OutE. Ben SeghirMuscle
- OutM. CulbreathFoot
- OutG. DoueCalf
Show 5 more
- OutK. EichhornIllness
- OutC. KofaneMuscle
- OutM. TerrierMuscle
- OutV. BonifaceOff the roster
- OutT. OermannOff the roster
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- OFI 4Bayer Leverkusen 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: OFI 2 · Bayer Leverkusen 3
- Referee
- Oleksiy Derevinskiy
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
