Juventus 1stWW

2–2

Thu 22 OctUK time (GMT)

Full time

Stade Rennais 13thWD

Juventus vs Stade Rennais prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Juventus to win: 69%, about 2 in 3

Juventus69%Bookies 69

Draw19%Bookies 19

Stade Rennais12%Bookies 12

Goals call3+ goals 60% · bookies 60% · ✓ 4 goals

The Verdict

The published 69/19/12 split sits comfortably within the panel's range, with the total-goals market (82% for 2+) also consistent with the hosts' scoring record.

! Drawn: we gave a draw 19% Ledger record ↗

AI forecastStats & H2HLineups & info

What our AI analysts say

1 of 3 think Juventus's chances are better than the bookmakers say.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Juventus' home scoring power should overwhelm a Rennes side yet to score away

Expect the hosts to set the tempo early and often.

Juventus: slightly underrated Low

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

Table stakes point one way: Juventus top, Rennes mid-table

Juventus sit 1st on 6 points with a 7-1 goal record, inside the top-8 Last 16 places. Rennes are 13th on 4 points, in the play-off zone. Both had 3 games in 14 days; Juventus get one day less rest, a small counterweight.

✓ In line with bookmakers

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

The prices look fair, but Rennes' away form gives pause

Rennes lost 0-4 at Lyon and 3-4 at Paris FC recently, so 12% away is not obviously generous.

Juventus: slightly overrated Low

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Juventus are clear favourites at 69%, with Stade Rennais on 12% and the draw on 19%. Juventus are 1st and Stade Rennais 13th in the Europa League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Juventus won three and Stade Rennais two.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Juventus win or draw: 88%
Either team wins (no draw): 81%
Stade Rennais win or draw: 31%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 82%
3+ goals: 60%
4+ goals: 38%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 51%
No: 49%

We expect about 2.3 goals from Juventus and 0.8 from Stade Rennais. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 2–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 3–0 (9%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published	Home	Draw	Away	Reason	Record
1	21 Oct 17:48	62%	22%	17%	Stats preview	#470
2	22 Oct 11:48	66%	20%	14%	Prices moved	#540
3	22 Oct 13:54	69%	19%	12%	Prices moved	#545

Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Juventus: last 6

LWDWWL · 12 scored, 8 conceded

18 Oct	vs Lazio Serie A	0–3	L
15 Oct	at Celta Vigo	2–1	W
11 Oct	at Cagliari Serie A	1–1	D
20 Sep	vs Atalanta Serie A	2–0	W
17 Sep	vs NEC Nijmegen	5–0	W
13 Sep	at Sassuolo Serie A	2–3	L

Last 5 at home: LWWDW

Stade Rennais: last 6

LWWLDW · 10 scored, 10 conceded

18 Oct	at Paris FC Ligue 1	3–4	L
15 Oct	vs OFI	2–1	W
11 Oct	vs Auxerre Ligue 1	4–1	W
19 Sep	at Lyon Ligue 1	0–4	L
16 Sep	at Sturm Graz	0–0	D
11 Sep	vs Marseille Ligue 1	1–0	W

Last 5 away: LLDWL

Season stats

Juventus		Stade Rennais
3.50	Goals scored per game	1.00
0.50	Goals conceded per game	0.50
5.00	Scored per game at home	2.00
2.00	Scored per game away	0.00
100%	Matches over 2.5 goals	50%
50%	Both teams scored	50%
50%	Clean sheets	50%
0%	Failed to score	50%

League matches only, 2 games each.

Europa League table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	League form
4	Ferencvarosi TC	3	+6	9	WWW
5	Olympiakos Piraeus	3	+3	9	WWW
6	Union St. Gilloise	3	+7	7	WDW
7	Juventus	3	+6	7	DWW
8	Beşiktaş	3	+4	7	DWW
9	Sunderland	3	+2	7	DWW
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	+4	6	WWL
11	Omonia Nicosia	3	+1	6	LWW
12	Lyon	3	-1	6	LWW
13	Stade Rennais	3	+1	5	DWD
14	Real Sociedad	3	+5	4	WDL
15	Crystal Palace	3	+3	4	DLW
16	Sparta Praha	3	+2	4	LDW