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‹ Europa League · Matchday 3
4–1
UK time (GMT)
Full time
Torreense 19thLW

Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Ferencvarosi TC to win: 77%, about 3 in 4

Ferencvarosi TC77%Bookies 77
Draw15%Bookies 15
Torreense8%Bookies 8

Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61% · ✓ 5 goals

✓ Favourite won (Ferencvarosi TC 76%) Ledger record ↗

In short

Ferencvarosi TC are clear favourites at 77%, with Torreense on 8% and the draw on 15%. Ferencvarosi TC are 7th and Torreense 19th in the Europa League. In their last two matches across all competitions, Ferencvarosi TC won one and Torreense one.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Ferencvarosi TC win or draw
92%
Either team wins (no draw)
85%
Torreense win or draw
24%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
61%
4+ goals
39%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
45%
No
55%

We expect about 2.5 goals from Ferencvarosi TC and 0.7 from Torreense. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 2–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 3–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (7%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 73%16%10%Stats preview#469
2 76%15%8%Prices moved#554

Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Ferencvarosi TC: last 6

DWWWWD · 12 scored, 4 conceded

18 Octat Kisvarda FC NB I1–1D
15 Octvs Plzen2–1W
17 Sepat Celtic3–1W
27 Augvs Trabzonspor4–0W
20 Augat Trabzonspor1–0W
13 Augat Gornik Zabrze1–1D

Last 5 at home: WWWDW

Torreense: last 2

LW · 3 scored, 3 conceded

15 Octvs Sunderland1–2L
17 Sepat Lillestrom2–1W

Last 1 away: W

Season stats

Ferencvarosi TCTorreense
2.10Goals scored per game1.50
0.70Goals conceded per game1.50
2.40Scored per game at home1.00
1.80Scored per game away2.00
70%Matches over 2.5 goals100%
60%Both teams scored100%
40%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score0%

League matches only, 10 and 2 games.

Europa League table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
1Benfica3+89WWW
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89WWW
3Bournemouth3+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69WWW
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39WWW
6Union St. Gilloise3+77WDW
7Juventus3+67DWW
…
25Celta Vigo3-13WLL
26OFI3-13LLW
27Jagiellonia3-23LWL
28Torreense3-33LLW
29Celje3-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer Sheva3-51LLD
31Lillestrom3-71LDL

Full Europa League table · Predicted final table

Team news: injuries and suspensions

Ferencvarosi TC8
  • OutM. BeroBroken Leg
  • OutE. BotkaNot available
  • OutN. KeitaNot available
Show 5 more
  • OutF. KovacevicInjury
  • OutB. OtvosKnee
  • OutI. PappoeKnee
  • OutB. NagyOff the roster
  • OutG. SzecsiOff the roster
Torreense1
  • OutA. BaradjiInjury

From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).

Match context

Rest days
Ferencvarosi TC 4Torreense 7
Matches in the last 14 days: Ferencvarosi TC 2 · Torreense 1
Referee
Jerome Brisard

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

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