Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Hellas Verona to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 51% · bookies 51%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The analysts suggest a closely fought match where Verona's scoring power is the key factor. While Verona is favoured by the market and the table, their defensive inconsistencies and away form raise concerns. The consensus points towards a high-scoring affair, with the probability of more goals than the total line sitting around 50%.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersVerona's high offensive output contrasts with Stabia's solid defensive record.
Verona averages 1.88 goals per game and concedes 1.62. Stabia scores 1.33 at home and concedes only 1.00.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureVerona holds a slight advantage in points and recent form consistency.
Verona sits 3 points ahead of Stabia in the table, having secured 9 points from 8 games. Verona has 3 days rest, while Stabia has 4 days.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market undervalues the defensive frailties of Hellas Verona.
Hellas Verona's away form has seen them concede 8 goals in their last 4 outings. However, the season record shows they have failed to score in 0% of matches.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Hellas Verona are slight favourites at 41%, with Juve Stabia on 31% and the draw on 28%. Juve Stabia are 14th and Hellas Verona 11th in Serie B. In their last five league games, Juve Stabia won two and Hellas Verona one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Juve Stabia win or draw
- 59%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Hellas Verona win or draw
- 68%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 75%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Juve Stabia and 1.5 from Hellas Verona. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 28% | 41% | Stats preview | #1738 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Juve Stabia: last 6
WWDDDL · 7 scored, 6 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Cremonese | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Sudtirol | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Virtus Entella | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Cesena | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Vicenza Virtus | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Pisa | 0–3 | L |
Last 3 at home: WDL
Hellas Verona: last 6
DDLWLW · 13 scored, 10 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Pisa | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs Catanzaro | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Modena | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Vicenza Virtus | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | at Benevento | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Arezzo | 5–0 | W |
Last 4 away: LLWD
Season stats
| Juve Stabia | Hellas Verona | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Goals scored per game | 1.88 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.62 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 2.20 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 38% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 88% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Serie B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | +3 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | -3 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | +2 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | +1 | 8 −4 | WWDDD |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 | Carrarese | 8 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 17 | Empoli | 8 | -6 | 7 | LDLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Juve Stabia won 0, Hellas Verona 1, 0 draws; 5.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2018 | Hellas Verona | 4–1 | Juve Stabia | Coppa Italia |
Match context
- Travel for Hellas Verona
- 598 km
- Rest days
- Juve Stabia 4Hellas Verona 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Juve Stabia 2 · Hellas Verona 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 16°C · wind 6 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta
- Goals in this league
- Serie B average: 2.70 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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