Mantova vs Cremonese prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Mantova to win: 43%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 52% · bookies 52%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a Mantova advantage, driven by their superior league standing and home attacking output. While the market is cautious on the goal count, the historical H2H and current form suggest a high-scoring match is likely.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersMantova's high-scoring home form should dominate this fixture.
Mantova averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Cremonese concedes 1.38 goals per game. Mantova has a 62% rate of both teams scoring in this competition.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureMantova's strong league position gives them a clear edge over the struggling visitors.
Mantova sits 2nd with 17 points from 8 games, whereas Cremonese is 18th with only 6 points from 8 games. Both teams have 3 days rest.
Mantova: slightly overrated
More goalsLow The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe historical high-scoring nature of this fixture suggests the market is conservative.
The last two head-to-head matches saw 3.5 goals per game, contrasting with the 48% probability for over 2.5 goals. Cremonese has failed to score in 62% of their games.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Mantova are slight favourites at 43%, with Cremonese on 29% and the draw on 28%. Mantova are 2nd and Cremonese 18th in Serie B. In their last five league games, Mantova won three and Cremonese none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Mantova win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Cremonese win or draw
- 57%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 73%
- 3+ goals
- 48%
- 4+ goals
- 26%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 52%
- No
- 48%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Mantova and 1.1 from Cremonese. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 28% | 29% | Stats preview | #1601 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Mantova: last 6
WLWDWD · 9 scored, 6 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Virtus Entella | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Palermo | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Catanzaro | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Pisa | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Sampdoria | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Cesena | 1–1 | D |
Last 4 at home: LDWW
Cremonese: last 6
LLDDDW · 6 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Juve Stabia | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Pisa | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Arezzo | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Virtus Entella | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Cesena | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Padova | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LDDWL
Season stats
| Mantova | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | Goals scored per game | 0.75 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.38 |
| 1.75 | Scored per game at home | 0.75 |
| 1.75 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 12% | Failed to score | 62% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Serie B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | +10 | 22 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | +6 | 17 | WLWDW |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | +7 | 16 | WLWWD |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | +8 | 15 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | +6 | 14 | WDWWW |
| … | |||||
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 | Carrarese | 8 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 17 | Empoli | 8 | -6 | 7 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | -5 | 6 | LLDDD |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | -8 | 5 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | -11 | 4 | LDLLW |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Mantova won 1, Cremonese 1, 0 draws; 3.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2025 | Cremonese | 4–2 | Mantova | Serie B |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Mantova | 1–0 | Cremonese | Serie B |
Match context
- Rest days
- Mantova 3Cremonese 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Mantova 2 · Cremonese 2
- Referee
- Rapuano Andrea
- Goals in this league
- Serie B average: 2.70 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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