Hellas Verona vs Pisa prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Hellas Verona to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The analysts suggest a high-scoring affair, with both sides showing strong attacking metrics. While Pisa holds a superior league position and rest advantage, the historical trend of draws suggests a tighter contest than the season statistics might imply.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Pisa's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersHellas Verona's high home scoring rate meets Pisa's potent away attack.
Hellas Verona scores 2.50 per game at home, while Pisa scores 2.67 away. Hellas Verona concedes 1.71 per game, but Pisa only concedes 1.29.
Pisa: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Dressing Room
the table and pressurePisa's strong league position and rest advantage give them the edge.
Pisa sits 3rd with 13 points from 7 games. Hellas Verona is 12th with 8 points. Pisa has 7 days rest compared to Hellas Verona's 8 days.
Pisa: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market may be overestimating the high-scoring nature of the season stats.
Head-to-head history shows 4 draws in the last 4 meetings. Season stats show 86% of matches are over 2.5 goals, but H2H goals average only 0.5 per game.
Pisa: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Hellas Verona are slight favourites at 42%, with Pisa on 31% and the draw on 27%. Hellas Verona are 13th and Pisa 6th in Serie B. In their last five league games, Hellas Verona won two and Pisa three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Hellas Verona win or draw
- 69%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Pisa win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- 4+ goals
- 30%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Hellas Verona and 1.3 from Pisa. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37% | 22% | 41% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1144 | |
| 2 | 42% | 27% | 31% | Prices moved | #1288 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Hellas Verona: last 6
DLWLWW · 14 scored, 10 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs Catanzaro | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Modena | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Vicenza Virtus | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | at Benevento | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Arezzo | 5–0 | W |
| 3 Sep | at Cagliari Coppa Italia | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: DWWLD
Pisa: last 6
WWDLLW · 12 scored, 10 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Cremonese | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Vicenza Virtus | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Mantova | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | at Fiorentina Coppa Italia | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Virtus Entella | 1–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | at Juve Stabia | 3–0 | W |
Last 4 away: WDLW
Season stats
| Hellas Verona | Pisa | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 2.00 |
| 1.71 | Goals conceded per game | 1.29 |
| 2.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 2.67 |
| 86% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 86% |
| 86% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 14% | Clean sheets | 29% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 14% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Serie B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Modena | 8 | +7 | 16 | WLWWD |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | +8 | 15 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | +6 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Pisa | 7 | +5 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | +3 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | +3 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | -3 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Virtus Entella | 8 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 12 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 13 | Hellas Verona | 7 | +2 | 8 | DLWLW |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | +1 | 8 −4 | WWDDD |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 | Carrarese | 8 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Hellas Verona won 0, Pisa 0, 4 draws; 0.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | Hellas Verona | 0–0 | Pisa | Serie A |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Pisa | 0–0 | Hellas Verona | Serie A |
| 26 Mar 2017 | Hellas Verona | 1–1 | Pisa | Serie B |
| 25 Oct 2016 | Pisa | 0–0 | Hellas Verona | Serie B |
Match context
- Rest days
- Hellas Verona 8Pisa 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Hellas Verona 2 · Pisa 1
- Referee
- Niccolo Turrini
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
