Cremonese vs Juve Stabia prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Cremonese to win: 49%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 52% · bookies 52% · ✓ 1 goals
The Verdict
The analysis suggests a tight contest where Cremonese's home attack holds a slight edge. While the table positions are close, the combination of high historical goal counts and the attacking form of both sides points towards a match with multiple goals.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Cremonese's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCremonese's home scoring power is a significant factor, but their defence remains vulnerable.
Cremonese's home form shows 5 goals scored and 4 conceded in their last four matches.
Cremonese: clearly underrated
Med The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth teams are in the lower half of the table and are looking for crucial points in this fixture.
Cremonese sit 16th with 6 points from 7 games, while Juve Stabia are 18th with 5 points from 7 games. Both sides have 6 days rest before this match.
Cremonese: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe historical goal-scoring nature of this fixture suggests the market may be underestimating the total goals.
Head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals per game. Cremonese's season goals conceded rate is 1.43, while Juve Stabia's is 1.14. Both teams have shown high scoring potential in recent encounters.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Cremonese are favourites at 49%, with Juve Stabia on 24% and the draw on 27%. Cremonese are 17th and Juve Stabia 18th in Serie B. In their last five league games, Cremonese won one and Juve Stabia one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Cremonese win or draw
- 76%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Juve Stabia win or draw
- 51%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 73%
- 3+ goals
- 47%
- 4+ goals
- 26%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Cremonese and 1.0 from Juve Stabia. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Cremonese: last 6
LDDDWW · 8 scored, 6 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Pisa | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Arezzo | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Virtus Entella | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Cesena | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Padova | 3–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | at Parma Coppa Italia | 2–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: DWLW
Juve Stabia: last 6
WDDDLW · 8 scored, 7 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Sudtirol | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Virtus Entella | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Cesena | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Vicenza Virtus | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Pisa | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | at Sampdoria | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: DDWLL
Season stats
| Cremonese | Juve Stabia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | Goals scored per game | 1.14 |
| 1.43 | Goals conceded per game | 1.14 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.33 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 57% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 29% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 57% | Failed to score | 29% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Serie B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Virtus Entella | 8 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 12 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 13 | Hellas Verona | 7 | +2 | 8 | DLWLW |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | +1 | 8 −4 | WWDDD |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 | Carrarese | 8 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 17 | Empoli | 8 | -6 | 7 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | -5 | 6 | LLDDD |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | -8 | 5 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | -11 | 4 | LDLLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Cremonese won 3, Juve Stabia 1, 2 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2025 | Cremonese | 3–0 | Juve Stabia | Serie B |
| 21 May 2025 | Juve Stabia | 2–1 | Cremonese | Serie B |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Cremonese | 1–1 | Juve Stabia | Serie B |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Juve Stabia | 1–2 | Cremonese | Serie B |
| 27 Jul 2020 | Juve Stabia | 1–2 | Cremonese | Serie B |
| 26 Dec 2019 | Cremonese | 1–1 | Juve Stabia | Serie B |
Match context
- Rest days
- Cremonese 6Juve Stabia 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Cremonese 2 · Juve Stabia 1
- Referee
- Giuseppe Mucera
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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