Vicenza Virtus vs Modena prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Modena to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 56% · bookies 56%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The coach and the table both nudge the over above the published 56%, while the sceptic's low-scoring head-to-head keeps that doubt alive but dated. A Modena win with goals at both ends is the most consistent picture.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals, with Modena the sharper side in front of goal.
Vicenza Virtus concede 1.88 per game with clean sheets in just 12% of matches, while Modena concede only 1.00 and score 1.88. Modena also average 1.75 away, so an open game looks likely.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThird-placed Modena arrive with momentum; Vicenza's home record offers little comfort.
Modena sit 3rd on 16 points from 8 games (W5 D1 L2, goals 15-8); Vicenza are 13th on 9 (W2 D3 L3, 11-15). Modena also have a day less rest.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices look broadly fair, though the head-to-head hints at a tighter game.
Modena at 47% away is defensible given 5 wins in 8, but their away form (L D W W L) is streaky and they lost at Carrarese last time out. The last two meetings produced 0.5 goals per game (1-0, 0-0), which sits oddly against the 56% over 2.5 line, though those games are old.
Modena: slightly overrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Modena are favourites at 47%, with Vicenza Virtus on 27% and the draw on 26%. Vicenza Virtus are 13th and Modena 3rd in Serie B. In their last five league games, Vicenza Virtus won one and Modena three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Vicenza Virtus win or draw
- 53%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Modena win or draw
- 73%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 56%
- 4+ goals
- 33%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Vicenza Virtus and 1.7 from Modena. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 2–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27% | 26% | 47% | Stats preview | #1597 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Vicenza Virtus: last 6
WDLLDD · 8 scored, 10 conceded
| 23 Oct | at Empoli | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Benevento | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Pisa | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Hellas Verona | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Juve Stabia | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | at Virtus Entella | 2–2 | D |
Last 4 at home: LDWD
Modena: last 6
WLWWDL · 10 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Cesena | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Carrarese | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Hellas Verona | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Empoli | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Sudtirol | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Avellino | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: LDWWL
Season stats
| Vicenza Virtus | Modena | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Goals scored per game | 1.88 |
| 1.88 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game away | 1.75 |
| 75% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 12% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Serie B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | +10 | 22 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | +6 | 17 | WLWDW |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | +7 | 16 | WLWWD |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | +8 | 15 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | +6 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | +5 | 14 | DWWDL |
| … | |||||
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | +2 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | +1 | 8 −4 | WWDDD |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 | Carrarese | 8 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Vicenza Virtus won 1, Modena 0, 1 draw; 0.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2020 | Vicenza Virtus | 1–0 | Modena | Serie C - Girone B |
| 25 Aug 2019 | Modena | 0–0 | Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone B |
Match context
- Travel for Modena
- 111 km
- Rest days
- Vicenza Virtus 4Modena 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Vicenza Virtus 2 · Modena 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Daniele Perenzoni
- Goals in this league
- Serie B average: 2.70 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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