Trabzonspor vs Heart of Midlothian prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Trabzonspor to win: 78%, about 4 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 70% · bookies 70% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
The consensus points strongly towards a Trabzonspor victory, driven by their excellent home form and superior league standing. Heart Of Midlothian's poor away defensive record is a significant factor, despite the market's initial assessment.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Trabzonspor's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTrabzonspor's strong home attack should dominate the match proceedings.
Trabzonspor has scored 13 and conceded only 2 in their last 5 home games. Heart Of Midlothian has conceded 12 in their last 5 away fixtures. Expected goals are 2.8 for Trabzonspor and 0.8 for Heart Of Midlothian.
Trabzonspor: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTrabzonspor's strong position and rest advantage give them a clear edge.
Trabzonspor sits 3rd in the table with 3 points from 1 game, having only 2 days rest. Heart Of Midlothian is 19th with 1 point from 1 game and has 4 days rest.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market undervalues the defensive fragility of Heart Of Midlothian away from home.
Trabzonspor has won 4 of their last 5 home matches. The published probability for Trabzonspor is 78%.
Trabzonspor: slightly overrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Trabzonspor are clear favourites at 78%, with Heart of Midlothian on 9% and the draw on 13%. Trabzonspor are 4th and Heart of Midlothian 20th in the Conference League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Trabzonspor won four and Heart of Midlothian one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Trabzonspor win or draw
- 91%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 87%
- Heart of Midlothian win or draw
- 22%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 88%
- 3+ goals
- 70%
- 4+ goals
- 49%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 2.8 goals from Trabzonspor and 0.8 from Heart of Midlothian. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 3–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Trabzonspor: last 6
WWWWLW · 18 scored, 3 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs Beşiktaş Süper Lig | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | at KuPS | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Samsunspor Süper Lig | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Galatasaray Süper Lig | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Konyaspor Süper Lig | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Süper Lig | 5–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWL
Heart of Midlothian: last 6
LDWDLW · 11 scored, 12 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Celtic Premiership | 1–7 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs FC Nordsjaelland | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs ST Mirren Premiership | 5–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Kilmarnock Premiership | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | at Falkirk Premiership | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Dundee Premiership | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LDLWD
Conference League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| … | |||||
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart of Midlothian | 2 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | -4 | 1 | LD |
Match context
- Rest days
- Trabzonspor 2Heart of Midlothian 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Trabzonspor 3 · Heart of Midlothian 3
- Referee
- Lawrence Visser
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
