Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Universitatea Craiova to win: 61%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 50% · bookies 50% · ✓ 4 goals
The Verdict
All three readings converge on Universitatea Craiova as clear favourites, close to the published 61/22/17, with the Sceptic nudging the draw up slightly. The Coach sees goals on both sides, the Dressing Room sees pressure on the home side, and the Sceptic finds little to argue with in the numbers.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCraiova create more but Inter's home scoring keeps this competitive.
The numbers give Craiova 1.8 expected goals to Inter's 0.9, with both teams scoring at 48% and 3+ goals at 50%. Inter have scored 7 in their last 4 at home, while Craiova kept a clean sheet in their last match, a 2-0 win over Farul Constanta.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureInter must attack to keep their hopes alive, and that gap shapes the game.
Inter sit 33rd of 36, pointless and already in the eliminated zone, four places below the knockout play-off line. Craiova are 21st with 1 point from 1 game. Both had 3 days' rest and 2 games in 14 days, so freshness is equal; the stakes push the hosts forward.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices look broadly right, though the draw may be a touch underpriced.
Craiova's 61% is backed by a six-match unbeaten run in normal time, but their away form reads L D L W and they drew three of their last four European games. Inter's home W D W D run gives the hosts a live route to a point, so 22% on the draw looks slightly light.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Universitatea Craiova are clear favourites at 61%, with Inter Club d'Escaldes on 17% and the draw on 22%. Inter Club d'Escaldes are 34th and Universitatea Craiova 15th in the Conference League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Inter Club d'Escaldes won two and Universitatea Craiova two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Inter Club d'Escaldes win or draw
- 39%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- Universitatea Craiova win or draw
- 83%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 75%
- 3+ goals
- 50%
- 4+ goals
- 28%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 48%
- No
- 52%
We expect about 0.9 goals from Inter Club d'Escaldes and 1.8 from Universitatea Craiova. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–3 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17% | 22% | 61% | Stats preview | #471 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Inter Club d'Escaldes: last 6
WLDDWW · 12 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1a Divisió | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Oct | at Mjallby AIF | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Drita | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Aug | at Drita | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Aug | at Flora Tallinn | 4–0 | W |
| 6 Aug | vs Flora Tallinn | 2–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: WDWD
Universitatea Craiova: last 6
WDLDWD · 7 scored, 5 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Farul Constanta Liga I | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Getafe | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | at Ararat-Armenia UEFA Europa League | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Aug | vs Ararat-Armenia UEFA Europa League | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Aug | vs KuPS UEFA Europa League | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Aug | at KuPS UEFA Europa League | 1–1 | D |
Last 4 away: LDLW
Conference League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| … | |||||
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Inter Club d'Escaldes 3Universitatea Craiova 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 · Universitatea Craiova 2
- Referee
- Christos Vergetis
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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