FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Midtjylland to win: 53%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63% · ✗ 1 goals
In short
FC Midtjylland are favourites at 53%, with St. Truiden on 23% and the draw on 24%. FC Midtjylland are 19th and St. Truiden 10th in the Conference League. In their last five matches across all competitions, FC Midtjylland won four and St. Truiden two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FC Midtjylland win or draw
- 77%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- St. Truiden win or draw
- 46%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 62%
- No
- 38%
We expect about 2.0 goals from FC Midtjylland and 1.3 from St. Truiden. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FC Midtjylland: last 6
WDWWWW · 14 scored, 5 conceded
| 19 Oct | at Viborg Superliga | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | at Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | at HNK Rijeka | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Aug | vs HNK Rijeka | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Aug | vs Bohemians | 3–2 | W |
| 6 Aug | at Bohemians | 2–0 | W |
Last 3 at home: WWL
St. Truiden: last 6
WWLLLW · 13 scored, 9 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Lommel United Cup | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs FC Iberia 1999 | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at KV Mechelen Jupiler Pro League | 3–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro League | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at SK Beveren Jupiler Pro League | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs RAAL La Louvière Jupiler Pro League | 4–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LLWLD
Conference League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| … | |||||
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | -2 | 1 | LD |
Match context
- Rest days
- FC Midtjylland 3St. Truiden 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: FC Midtjylland 2 · St. Truiden 3
- Referee
- Juxhin Xhaja
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
