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‹ Conference League · Matchday 2
1–4
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FC Twente 14thW

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs FC Twente prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Twente to win: 84%, about 4 in 5

Lincoln Red Imps5%Bookies 5
Draw11%Bookies 11
Twente84%Bookies 84

Goals call3+ goals 71% · bookies 71% · ✓ 5 goals

✓ Favourite won (Twente 84%) Ledger record ↗

In short

FC Twente are clear favourites at 84%, with Lincoln Red Imps FC on 5% and the draw on 11%. Lincoln Red Imps FC are 30th and FC Twente 14th in the Conference League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Lincoln Red Imps FC won two and FC Twente three.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Lincoln Red Imps FC win or draw
16%
Either team wins (no draw)
89%
FC Twente win or draw
95%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
71%
4+ goals
50%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
45%
No
55%

We expect about 0.6 goals from Lincoln Red Imps FC and 3.0 from FC Twente. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 0–3 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–2 (12%), 0–4 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 1–3 (8%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 7%13%80%Stats preview#495
2 5%11%84%Prices moved#600

Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Lincoln Red Imps FC: last 6

WLWLLD · 7 scored, 7 conceded

18 Octat Lynx Premier Division2–1W
15 Octat Brann1–2L
27 Augat Larne3–0W
20 Augvs Larne0–2L
13 Augat Omonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League0–1L
6 Augvs Omonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League1–1D

Last 4 at home: LDDW

FC Twente: last 6

LWDWWW · 9 scored, 5 conceded

18 Octvs Utrecht Eredivisie1–2L
15 Octvs FC Thun1–0W
10 Octat Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie1–1D
20 Sepvs PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie3–2W
12 Sepvs ADO Den Haag Eredivisie2–0W
9 Sepvs Telstar Eredivisie1–0W

Last 5 away: DDWWD

Season stats

Lincoln Red Imps FCFC Twente
1.33Goals scored per game2.80
1.33Goals conceded per game1.00
0.00Scored per game at home2.33
2.00Scored per game away3.50
67%Matches over 2.5 goals60%
33%Both teams scored40%
33%Clean sheets40%
33%Failed to score20%

League matches only, 3 and 5 games.

Conference League table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
2FC Lugano2+46WW
3Brann2+46WW
4Trabzonspor2+46WW
5FC Twente2+46WW
6Monaco2+46WW
7St. Truiden2+36WW
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26WW
…
30Getafe2-31LD
31Kairat Almaty2-41LD
32FC Thun2-20LL
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40LL
34KuPS2-40LL
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40LL
36Kauno Žalgiris2-70LL

Full Conference League table · Predicted final table

Match context

Rest days
Lincoln Red Imps FC 4FC Twente 4
Matches in the last 14 days: Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 · FC Twente 3
Referee
Matteo Marcenaro

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

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