FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
FK Crvena Zvezda to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 58% · ✓ 4 goals
In short
FK Crvena Zvezda are slight favourites at 42%, with FC Copenhagen on 32% and the draw on 26%. FK Crvena Zvezda are 23rd and FC Copenhagen 3rd in the Conference League. In their last five matches across all competitions, FK Crvena Zvezda won two and FC Copenhagen three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FK Crvena Zvezda win or draw
- 68%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- FC Copenhagen win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 60%
- No
- 40%
We expect about 1.6 goals from FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.4 from FC Copenhagen. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 26% | 32% | Stats preview | #463 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FK Crvena Zvezda: last 6
WLLWLL · 11 scored, 12 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Mladost Lucani Super Liga | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | at FC Lugano | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | at Plzen UEFA Europa League | 1–5 | L |
| 20 Aug | vs Plzen UEFA Europa League | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | vs Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Aug | at Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League | 0–1 | L |
Last 4 at home: WWLW
FC Copenhagen: last 6
DWWDWW · 16 scored, 3 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Aarhus Superliga | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Oct | vs SC Braga | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | vs Inter Turku | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Aug | at Inter Turku | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Aug | vs Debreceni VSC | 5–1 | W |
| 6 Aug | at Debreceni VSC | 3–0 | W |
Last 3 away: DWD
Conference League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| … | |||||
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: FK Crvena Zvezda won 0, FC Copenhagen 0, 2 draws; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2019 | FC Copenhagen | 2–2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | UEFA Champions League |
| 6 Aug 2019 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1–1 | FC Copenhagen | UEFA Champions League |
Match context
- Rest days
- FK Crvena Zvezda 4FC Copenhagen 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: FK Crvena Zvezda 2 · FC Copenhagen 2
- Referee
- Radu Marian Petrescu
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
