FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Nordsjaelland to win: 67%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63% · ✓ 4 goals
In short
FC Nordsjaelland are clear favourites at 67%, with CSKA Sofia on 14% and the draw on 19%. FC Nordsjaelland are 16th and CSKA Sofia 27th in the Conference League. In their last five matches across all competitions, FC Nordsjaelland won three and CSKA Sofia one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FC Nordsjaelland win or draw
- 86%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 81%
- CSKA Sofia win or draw
- 33%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 2.3 goals from FC Nordsjaelland and 0.9 from CSKA Sofia. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FC Nordsjaelland: last 6
DDWWWW · 15 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Lyngby Superliga | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Oct | at Heart Of Midlothian | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | at FC ST. Gallen | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Aug | vs FC ST. Gallen | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Aug | vs Valur Reykjavik | 5–0 | W |
| 6 Aug | at Valur Reykjavik | 2–0 | W |
Last 3 at home: WWW
CSKA Sofia: last 6
WLLLLW · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Nesebar Cup | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Monaco | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs OFI UEFA Europa League | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | at OFI UEFA Europa League | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Aug | vs Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Aug | at Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League | 3–0 | W |
Last 5 away: WLWDW
Conference League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
Match context
- Rest days
- FC Nordsjaelland 4CSKA Sofia 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: FC Nordsjaelland 2 · CSKA Sofia 2
- Referee
- Robert Jones
- 2.7 yellow cards per game and 0.17 penalties per game over 6 games — below the Conference League average (5.0 yellows).
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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