Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Panathinaikos to win: 60%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52% · ✓ 6 goals
In short
Panathinaikos are clear favourites at 60%, with Kairat Almaty on 17% and the draw on 23%. Kairat Almaty are 22nd and Panathinaikos 9th in the Conference League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Kairat Almaty won one and Panathinaikos four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Kairat Almaty win or draw
- 40%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Panathinaikos win or draw
- 84%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- 4+ goals
- 30%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 0.9 goals from Kairat Almaty and 1.9 from Panathinaikos. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–3 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17% | 23% | 60% | Stats preview | #455 | |
| 2 | 18% | 24% | 58% | Prices moved | #525 | |
| 3 | 16% | 23% | 60% | Prices moved | #533 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Kairat Almaty: last 6
WDLLLL · 6 scored, 9 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Irtysh Premier League | 5–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | at Riga | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | at Anderlecht UEFA Europa League | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Aug | vs Anderlecht UEFA Europa League | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | vs Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Aug | at Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLLWW
Panathinaikos: last 6
WWWDWD · 14 scored, 7 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Asteras Tripolis Super League 1 | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Borac Banja Luka | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | at Hradec Králové | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Aug | vs Hradec Králové | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Aug | at CSKA 1948 | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Aug | vs CSKA 1948 | 1–1 | D |
Last 3 away: WWW
Conference League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| … | |||||
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Kairat Almaty 4Panathinaikos 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Kairat Almaty 2 · Panathinaikos 2
- Referee
- Allard Lindhout
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
