Braga vs Gent prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Braga to win: 51%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 57% · bookies 57% · ✓ 2 goals
In short
Braga are favourites at 51%, with Gent on 22% and the draw on 27%. Braga are 34th and Gent 15th in the Conference League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Braga won one and Gent three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Braga win or draw
- 78%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Gent win or draw
- 49%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 69%
- 3+ goals
- 43%
- 4+ goals
- 22%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 46%
- No
- 54%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Braga and 0.9 from Gent. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 0–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51% | 27% | 22% | Stats preview | #487 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Braga: last 6
LLLDWL · 4 scored, 10 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs GIL Vicente Primeira Liga | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | at FC Copenhagen | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Sporting CP Primeira Liga | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Santa Clara Primeira Liga | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs Estoril Primeira Liga | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | at Estrela Primeira Liga | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: LLWWW
Gent: last 6
DWWWDW · 12 scored, 5 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Rochefort Cup | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Oct | vs Aarhus | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Zulte Waregem Jupiler Pro League | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Standard Liege Jupiler Pro League | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Genk Jupiler Pro League | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | at Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro League | 3–0 | W |
Last 5 away: DWDWW
Season stats
| Braga | Gent | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Goals scored per game | 0.86 |
| 0.43 | Goals conceded per game | 0.43 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game at home | 0.50 |
| 0.25 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 29% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 14% |
| 0% | Both teams scored | 29% |
| 86% | Clean sheets | 71% |
| 43% | Failed to score | 43% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Conference League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | +0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | Braga | 2 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Braga won 0, Gent 0, 2 draws; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2016 | Gent | 2–2 | Braga | UEFA Europa League |
| 15 Sep 2016 | Braga | 1–1 | Gent | UEFA Europa League |
Match context
- Rest days
- Braga 2Gent 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Braga 3 · Gent 3
- Referee
- Andris Treimanis
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
