Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Aarhus to win: 67%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 58% · ✗ 2 goals
In short
Aarhus are clear favourites at 67%, with Egnatia Rrogozhinë on 13% and the draw on 20%. Aarhus are 31st and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 18th in the Conference League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Aarhus won none and Egnatia Rrogozhinë two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Aarhus win or draw
- 87%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë win or draw
- 33%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 2.1 goals from Aarhus and 0.9 from Egnatia Rrogozhinë. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 3–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Aarhus: last 6
DLLLLW · 5 scored, 13 conceded
| 18 Oct | at FC Copenhagen Superliga | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Oct | at Gent | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Benfica UEFA Europa League | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Aug | at Benfica UEFA Europa League | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | at Sabah FA UEFA Champions League | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Aug | vs Sabah FA UEFA Champions League | 2–1 | W |
Last 3 at home: LWL
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: last 6
WDLDWL · 11 scored, 8 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Vllaznia Shkodër Superliga | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs FC Midtjylland | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | at Lillestrom UEFA Europa League | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | vs Lillestrom UEFA Europa League | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Aug | vs Shamrock Rovers UEFA Europa League | 5–1 | W |
| 4 Aug | at Shamrock Rovers UEFA Europa League | 1–3 | L |
Last 4 away: LLDD
Conference League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Gent | 2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Aarhus 4Egnatia Rrogozhinë 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Aarhus 2 · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2
- Referee
- Ante Čulina
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
