Sporting CP vs Lask Linz prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Sporting CP to win: 78%, about 4 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 72% · bookies 72% · ✓ 5 goals
In short
Sporting CP are clear favourites at 78%, with Lask Linz on 9% and the draw on 13%. Sporting CP are 8th and Lask Linz 33rd in the Champions League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Sporting CP won three and Lask Linz two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Sporting CP win or draw
- 91%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 87%
- Lask Linz win or draw
- 23%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 88%
- 3+ goals
- 72%
- 4+ goals
- 51%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 2.8 goals from Sporting CP and 0.9 from Lask Linz. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 3–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 82% | 11% | 7% | Stats preview | #412 | |
| 2 | 80% | 12% | 8% | Prices moved | #450 | |
| 3 | 77% | 13% | 9% | Prices moved | #457 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Sporting CP: last 6
WWDDWW · 13 scored, 5 conceded
| 13 Oct | at Lens | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | at SC Braga Primeira Liga | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Arouca Primeira Liga | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | at Famalicao Primeira Liga | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs Galatasaray | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Nacional Primeira Liga | 2–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: DWWWW
Lask Linz: last 5
WLLWL · 12 scored, 11 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Austria Lustenau Bundesliga | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Liverpool | 3–6 | L |
| 8 Sep | at AEK Athens FC | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Celtic | 5–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | at Celtic | 0–3 | L |
Last 3 away: WLL
Season stats
| Sporting CP | Lask Linz | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | Goals scored per game | 2.00 |
| 0.50 | Goals conceded per game | 2.75 |
| 3.00 | Scored per game at home | 4.00 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 0.00 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 2 and 4 games.
Champions League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Como | 3 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| … | |||||
| 21 | Inter | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 | Feyenoord | 3 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 | Lens | 3 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Sporting CP won 1, Lask Linz 2, 0 draws; 3.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2020 | Sporting CP | 1–4 | Lask Linz | UEFA Europa League |
| 12 Dec 2019 | Lask Linz | 3–0 | Sporting CP | UEFA Europa League |
| 3 Oct 2019 | Sporting CP | 2–1 | Lask Linz | UEFA Europa League |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutZ. DebastInjury
- OutN. SantosKnee
- OutR. ZalazarThigh
- OutG. BelloMuscle
- OutR. HarakateKnee
- OutK. CheikneOff the roster
Show 1 more
- OutA. SmakajOff the roster
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- Sporting CP 8Lask Linz 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Sporting CP 2 · Lask Linz 2
- Referee
- Nick Walsh
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
