Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Borussia Dortmund to win: 76%, about 3 in 4

Sabah FA10%Bookies 10

Draw14%Bookies 14

Borussia Dortmund76%Bookies 76

Goals call3+ goals 70% · bookies 70% · ✓ 3 goals

✓ Favourite won (Borussia Dortmund 76%) Ledger record ↗

AI forecastStats & H2HLineups & info

In short

Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites at 76%, with Sabah FA on 10% and the draw on 14%. In their last five matches across all competitions, Sabah FA won three and Borussia Dortmund two. The prices point to about 3.6 goals.

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Win or draw (double chance)

Sabah FA win or draw: 24%
Either team wins (no draw): 85%
Borussia Dortmund win or draw: 90%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 88%
3+ goals: 70%
4+ goals: 49%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 55%
No: 45%

We expect about 0.9 goals from Sabah FA and 2.7 from Borussia Dortmund. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 0–2 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 0–3 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%), 0–1 (7%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published	Home	Draw	Away	Reason	Record
1	19 Oct 17:45	10%	15%	76%	Stats preview	#279

Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Sabah FA: last 6

WWLWLW · 16 scored, 8 conceded

17 Oct	at Qabala Premyer Liqa	4–0	W
13 Oct	vs Slavia Praha	2–0	W
10 Sep	at Manchester United	0–4	L
25 Aug	vs Hapoel Beer Sheva	5–2	W
19 Aug	at Hapoel Beer Sheva	1–2	L
11 Aug	vs Aarhus	4–0	W

Last 5 at home: WWWWW

Borussia Dortmund: last 6

DLDWWW · 9 scored, 5 conceded

17 Oct	at Union Berlin Bundesliga	0–0	D
14 Oct	at Bodo/Glimt	0–1	L
9 Oct	vs Werder Bremen Bundesliga	2–2	D
19 Sep	at VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga	1–0	W
12 Sep	vs SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga	3–0	W
8 Sep	vs Villarreal	3–2	W

Last 5 away: DLWWW

Season stats

Sabah FA		Borussia Dortmund
2.00	Goals scored per game	1.50
1.10	Goals conceded per game	1.50
2.80	Scored per game at home	3.00
1.20	Scored per game away	0.00
60%	Matches over 2.5 goals	50%
40%	Both teams scored	50%
50%	Clean sheets	0%
10%	Failed to score	50%

League matches only, 10 and 2 games.

Champions League table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	League form
10	Manchester City	3	+4	6	WLW
11	Club Brugge KV	3	+3	6	WWL
12	Sporting CP	3	+3	6	LWW
13	Borussia Dortmund	3	+1	6	WLW
14	Bayern München	3	+5	5	DDW
15	AS Roma	3	+3	4	WLD
16	Atletico Madrid	3	+1	4	DWL