Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Napoli to win: 55%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 60% · bookies 60% · ✓ 7 goals
In short
Napoli are favourites at 55%, with Bodo/Glimt on 22% and the draw on 23%. Napoli are 32nd and Bodo/Glimt 23rd in the Champions League. In their last five matches across all competitions, Napoli won two and Bodo/Glimt four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Napoli win or draw
- 78%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Bodo/Glimt win or draw
- 45%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Napoli and 1.1 from Bodo/Glimt. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Napoli: last 6
LLWDWL · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Venezia Serie A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Oct | at Villarreal | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Frosinone Serie A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Fiorentina Serie A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Bologna Serie A | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | vs Arsenal | 0–1 | L |
Last 4 at home: WWLL
Bodo/Glimt: last 6
WWLWWW · 12 scored, 8 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Ham-Kam Eliteserien | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | at Bayern München | 0–5 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs NEC Nijmegen | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | at NEC Nijmegen | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | vs Union St. Gilloise | 3–2 | W |
Last 4 away: WLWD
Season stats
| Napoli | Bodo/Glimt | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | Goals scored per game | 2.17 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.83 |
| 0.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.33 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 17% |
League matches only, 2 and 6 games.
Champions League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | +0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 | Feyenoord | 3 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 | Lens | 3 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 | RB Leipzig | 3 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 30 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutAlisson SantosMuscle
- OutA. BuongiornoKnee
- OutDavid NeresThigh
Show 3 more
- OutC. FavasuliThigh
- OutA. VergaraCalf
- OutL. MarianucciOff the roster
- OutH. EvjenKnee
- OutA. MikkelsenGroin
- OutM. RiisnaesKnee
Show 1 more
- OutI. SjongInjury
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- Napoli 3Bodo/Glimt 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Napoli 3 · Bodo/Glimt 2
- Referee
- Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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